Ryan’s FINAL FOUR 30* Game of the Year: Ryan has gone 5-2 ATS for 71% ATS winners for the entire College Basketball season with his 30* Game of the Year releases. He has one in the Final Four and as always is backed by his comprehensive research and game analysis showing you why he is confident this play will win easily.
Game: Ohio State at Kansas Mar 31 2012 8:45PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: 30* graded play on Kansas as they take on Ohio State in the second game of the Final Four set to tip at . The simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game and advance to the Final. Kansas is a solid 14-7 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing opponent to make <=42% of their total shot attempts this season; 12-1 ATS after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game since 1997; 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. A dominant key in this game will be the advantages I see Kansas having on the defensive end rebounding the basketball. Second chance scoring opportunities are what often leads a team to victory, especially in Championship type games like the Final Four. Both teams are strong rebounding teams and that is not surprising since this is the Final Four. However, Kansas has the athletes and skills to do a better job with defensive rebounding than Ohio State. Kansas will look to use missed Ohio State shots to generate fast break scoring opportunities. Moreover, I see Kansas having at least four more second chance scoring opportunities that Ohio State. Kansas ranks eighth best in the nation averaging 25.0 defensive boards per game. Kansas will look to push the tempo to their advantage and it all starts with solid defensive rebounding. Another key to this scheme is that Ohio State does not have a significant threat from beyond the arc. They rank just 223rd in the nation hitting 33.2% of their three point shot attempts. This will allow Kansas to pack the paint where they are the nation’s best defense allowing just 40% shooting on two-point shot attempts. Ohio State makes just 5.0 three point shots per game ranking 263rd in the nation and they will have to have one of their best perimeter shooting games of the season to defeat Kansas, in my opinion. Shooting efficiency has become a meaningful statistic and Kansas has a significant edge in this category. Kansas has the better rebounding and the better shooting and those are the two dominant reasons they will win this game. Take Kansas as a Final Four Game of the Year 30* Play