SCOTT SPREITZER'S FINAL-4 BLOCKBUSTER! 3-0 & 13-2!: Scott Spreitzer enters Saturday on a 13-2, 87% NCAA Big Dance run since 3/15! Scott WON his lone BIG DANCE BLOCKBUSTER and he's 3-0, 100% with these plays the last 2 years in Big Dance action. Grab the FINAL-4 BLOCKBUSTER right here, backed by 100% & 92% spots! Scott looks to extend to 4-0 & 14-2 ATS!
Game: Louisville at Kentucky Mar 31 2012 6:05PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm taking the points with Louisville on Saturday. Yes, the deeper and overall more talented team in this tilt wears blue and white. But public perception has driven this number too high as far as I'm concerned. We have heard over the last few days that Kentucky "...would beat the Washington Wizards," from one basketball analyst. Obviously, that's a ridiculous statement. What we do know is that teams that haven't "run" with Kentucky have fared well ATS of late. Vanderbilt wouldn't run with the 'Cats and beat them outright in the SEC tourney, 71-64. Also in SEC tourney action we saw LSU easily cover a 17-point spread, losing 60-51 in a game where the Tigers forced the tempo. Florida did the same thing (we had the Gators) in their spread-covering 74-71 SU loss to Kentucky as a 9-point dog. I think it's safe to say that Rick Pitino "gets it." I will be shocked if his Cardinals attempt to play a fast-paced tempo on Saturday. Louisville averages a middle-of-the-pack 68.7 ppg. They're all about high intensity and nasty defensive play. The Cardinals rank 31st, allowing just 60.8 ppg. They have held the opposition to 38% shooting, ranking 3rd in the nation, including 30.3% from behind the arc, which ranks 22nd. This may not be the deepest team in college baskets, but it's one of the best coached squads and the players have completely "bought-in" to say the least. Louisville enters on an 8-0 SU/ATS run, allowing just 56.3 ppg on 38% shooting, including 21.9% from behind the arc. Louisville has turned the ball over just 36 times in their last four games combined, or 9 tpg. The Cards are on an 11-1 ATS run after committing 14 turnovers or less in four straight games, which is the situation in this one. And normally teams on 8-0 SU & ATS streaks catch public perception influence...but not when you're playing this Kentucky edition. The Wildcats won a December matchup with Louisville by a 69-62 final score. The Cardinals were in the middle of a 1-4 SU slide and they're a much better team than they were then. Finally, Kentucky is just 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games outside of the SEC. I believe they're over-valued in this one and I'm taking the points with Louisville. Thanks! GL! Scott.