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Game: Ohio State at Kansas Mar 31 2012 8:45PM
Prediction: Ohio State
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: Play On: Ohio State (Game 819) Note: When the Buckeyes battle the Jayhawks for the right to play in the NCAA tournament championship game Monday evening the Buckeyes will look to avenge an 11-point loss suffered earlier this season against Kansas, the worst of the season by Ohio State. It should be pointed out that OSU played that contest without the services of its best player as Jared Sullinger was sidelined with an injury. And that sets the table for this play as our database notes that .800 or greater teams in the NCAA tourney seeking revenge from a season loss of less than 20 or points are 11-4 ATS in these games since 1991, including 8-0 ATS when playing off a win of 12 or less points over a non-conference. In addition, Buckeyes head coach Thad Matta is 26-10 SU and 24-12 ATS in his career in games when looking to avenge a same season loss, including 8-0 SU and ATS when facing a foe with a better win percentage that is off a SU and ATS win in its last game. With the Buckeyes playing with a full deck today, look for Kansas head coach Bill Self to fall to 1-6 ATS in his career in games off a double-digit SU and double-digit ATS win when facing an .815 or greater foe seeking revenge here today. We recommend a 3-unit play on Ohio State. Thank you and good luck as always.