Larry Ness' Situational G.O.W. (64% s/Feb 12): The lockout delayed the start of TY's NBA season until Christmas Day but 28-year vet Larry Ness was ready right from the opening tip! Through it all, Larry's a MONEY-MAKING 57-35-1 or 56-35-2 with all NBA releases, including a current run of 25-14-1 (64%) since Feb 12. Join him tonight for his Situational Game of the Week.
Game: Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers Mar 28 2012 10:35PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: My 9* Situational Game of the Week is on the LA Clippers at 10:35 ET.
The Clippers were 15-7 when Billups was lost for the season. They’ve gone 13-14 since and were on a 1-8 ATS slide, including an 0-6 run. before winning and covering the first two games of this current home stand over Minnesota and New Orleans. The Phoenix Suns visit Staples Center tonight off a 107-100 home loss to the Spurs but will be seeking their FIFTH straight win over the Clippers, as the Pacific Division rivals meet for the third time this month. Phoenix defeated the Clippers at home on March 2 and then rallied from a 12-point, fourth-quarter deficit to win in LA on March 15 (91-87). The West has a tightly-bunched playoff race behind the Thunder and Spurs. The Suns are just 25-25 (currently 10th) but only two games behind the Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets, who are tied for the seventh and eighth playoff spots.The Clippers currently own the No. 4 seed but they are a modest 3 1/2 games ahead of the 10th-place Suns in the standings. This is a pivotal stretch for the Suns, as EIGHT of the team's next 10 games will be on the road, where Phoenix is just 10-14. Hill missed last night’s game but is listed as probable, as is Nash, who played last night despite lingering back issues. Hill is bothered by a knee injury and Shannon Brown started in his place, scoring a career-high 32 points on 11-of-18 shooting and Marcin Gortat (16.1-10.0) added 21 with 14 rebounds. The Suns shot 51.5 percent through three quarters but made just 33 percent (7-of-21) in the fourth, while scoring just 17 points. The team's confidence should be much higher here, as the Suns have won 13 of the last 14 meetings in the series.That being said, the Griffin (20.8-10.8) and Paul (19.5-8.6 APG) duo know it’s time to get the team's act together. Young, a 16.6 PPG scorer at Washington, was an excellent trade deadline addition and has averaged 12.3 PPG in his six games with LA. The Clippers have won four in a row at home since losing to these Suns back on March 15, giving up 86.0 PPG and allowing opponents to shoot only 44.4 percent from the floor. The Clippers were not nearly aggressive enough against the Suns in two losses to Phoenix this month, getting to the free throw line just NINE times in Phoenix and just 12 times in LA. The Clippers were outscored in their 81-78 loss at Phoenix 18-8 at the free throw line and in that 91-87 loss here in LA, by an 18-5 margin. Expect that to change in a “big way” tonight, as the Clippers make the most of this five-game home stand (struggling Portland and surging Utah up next) with a third straight win tonight. The Suns “ran out of gas” in the 4th quarter last night vs the Spurs and the rested Clippers get the best of them here, after two close losses earlier this month. Lay it.