**ALERT** Burns' *10 Final Four MAIN EVENT!: Ben Burns released only one play in the Final 4 last year, it WON BY 29 POINTS! This year, Burns is STEPPING OUT w/ a TRIO OF TOP TIER TICKETS, including this one, his annual FINAL FOUR MAIN EVENT. Ben's last "Main Event" saw Memphis win outright vs the Lakers. If you enjoyed that WIRE-TO-WIRE COVER, you'll LOVE what Burns has lined up here. Hurry!
Game: Ohio State at Kansas Mar 31 2012 8:45PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on Ohio State and Kansas to finish UNDER the total. These teams both saw their "Elite 8" games finish above the total. That's led to a generously high O/U number for Saturday's game. I believe it will prove to be too high. The Jayhawks aren't underdogs very often. When they are in that role, they tend to play low-scoring games. In fact, the UNDER is 29-12-2 the last 42 times that there were getting points, 4-0 the last four. A closer look shows that the UNDER is also 4-0 the last four times that Kansas played a neutral court game where the total ranged from 135.5 to 139. Overall, the UNDER is 8-1-1 the last 10 times that they were neutral court underdogs of three or less. In four tournament games, the Jayhawks have allowed 50, 60, 57 and 67 points. The 67 came against North Carolina, a team that normally averages more than 80. Prior to scoring 80 in the UNC game, the Jayhawks had managed only 65, 63 and 60 points, scores that were getting progressively lower before last weekend. For the season, they're allowing only 61.6 per game. The Buckeyes have allowed a few more points in the Tournament, although they've still limited each opponent to 70 or less. However, they're still allowing a mere 59.7 overall on the season. The Jayhawks have plenty of other stats supporting a potential defensive battle here. The UNDER is now 7-3 their last 10 NCAA tournament games. The UNDER is also a lucrative 36-14 the last 50 times (excluding pushes) that the Jayhawks played with five or six day's rest in between games. Last year's Final 4 games saw the UNDER go 1-0-1 (or 2-0) and had combined scores of 132 and 111, an average of only 121.5. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than expected. *10