Burns' *10* FINAL 4 O/U BEST OF THE BEST! *3-0 YTD: After WINNING LARGE w/ Louisville in the Big East Final, Ben Burns has proceeded to go a PERFECT 3-0 with Louisville O/U plays in the Big Dance. He WON HUGE w/ the "under" when the Cards faced UNM & AGAIN vs. MSU. However, when matched up against an SEC opponent (FLA) he successfully played the "over." He's already UNLOADED on WINNER #4!
Game: Louisville at Kentucky Mar 31 2012 6:05PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on Louisville and Kentucky to finish UNDER the total. The Wildcats have been a highly profitable "over" team this tournament. In fact, all four of their games in the Big Dance have finished above the number. They're up against a much different type of opponent here though and I expect a much lower-scoring contest. Unlike Kentucky, Louisville has been a very profitable "under" team. Even after the Cardinals' last game finished above the total, the UNDER is still 3-1 in their NCAA Tournament games and a lucrative 10-2 their last 12. Its certainly true that Kentucky can score points. However, people tend to forget that the Wildcats are also a very capable defensive team. In fact, they're the best defensive team in the entire country, in terms of field goal percentage. Indeed opposing teams are hitting a mere 37.5% from the field against them. The Cardinals aren't too shabby in that area either. Opposing teams are hitting only 38% of their shots against them. That ranks #3 in the entire country. It should be noted that the UNDER is 3-0 the last three times that these rivals faced each other. This season's regular season meeting finished with only 131 points. You may recall that the Wildcats saw last year's Elite 8 game finish with a lot (145) of points, just like this year's, which finished with 152. However, I came right back with the "under" in their Final 4 game. That one had an O/U line of 138.5 but finished with a mere 111 points. With the Cardinals doing everything they can to slow the pace, I look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than most are expecting. *10