Burns' *10* END OF THE MONTH FINAL 4 BLOWOUT!: The NCAA Tournament doesn't resume until Saturday, March 31st. Big Game Expert Ben Burns is NOT waiting though! Here, he gives you his March "End of the Month" B-L-O-W-O-U-T. Do NOT wait for this line to move. Get down right NOW!
Game: Louisville at Kentucky Mar 31 2012 6:05PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on KENTUCKY. I respect Louisville. They're obviously well-coached. They've also got some talent and they play hard. Regulars will recall that I backed the Cardinals in their Big East Final victory. However, this is a different kind of beast that they'll be dealing with now. The Wildcats are much more dangerous offensively than the Cardinals. The Wildcats score 77.9 points per game and hit 48.8% of their shots. On the other hand, Louisville averages 68.4 points, while hitting 42.5% of its shots. Obviously, those numbers are significantly different from each other. Louisville supporters might come back and argue that Kentucky may be better offensively but that the Cardinals are better defensively. However, that's not even true. Yes, the Cardinals are indeed excellent defensively. However, Kentucky is arguably even better. The Cardinals allow 60.8 points per game. The Wildcats are slightly better. They allow 60.6. The Cardinals allow opposing teams to shoot just 38% from the field, the third best mark in the entire country. However, the Wildcats have them beat there too. They're holding opposing teams to a mere 37.5% from the field , the very best mark in the entire country. While they won by "only" seven when these teams faced each other on New Year's Eve, the Wildcats are still a solid 6-2 SU/ATS the last eight in the series. (The beat the Cardinals by 15 the previous season.) While the Cardinals have enjoyed a great run, I feel it comes to an end here. *10