Burns' *10 ELITE 8 PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ 20-8 RUN!: Ben Burns dropped his "Personal Favorite" on Houston yesterday. These tickets are now 20-8 the L28. His most recent college "PF" saw Baylor DESTROY Colorado on 3/17. If you enjoyed that ONE SIDED B-L-O-W-O-U-T, you'll LOVE what Burns has got lined up here. Hop on board right NOW!
Game: Kansas at North Carolina Mar 25 2012 5:05PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on KANSAS. Many might be surprised to see Kansas as the favorite here. After all, this is mighty North Carolina that the Jayhawks are up against. The Tar Heels haven't been so mighty lately though. Indeed, they needed overtime just to get past lowly Ohio. They entered the tournament off a loss vs. Florida State and all three tournament opponents have been mediocre teams, at best. The Jayhawks have faced arguably tougher opposition, as they've had to deal with NC State, Purdue and Detroit. Each of those three teams brought a different element to the table and I feel those "warm up games" will serve them better than the ones (Vermont, Creighton, Ohio) that UNC has had to contend with. Note that I did back the Tar Heels when they blew out Vermont - so that big win did not surprise. We tend to think of the Tar Heels as being at their best in these types of situations. They're typically not though. They're only 9-13-1 ATS (6-17 SU) the last 23 times that they were underdogs. During that same stretch, they're 7-14-2 ATS when playing with one or less day's rest in between games and 17-24-2 ATS against teams which allow 64 or fewer points per game. Kansas allows just 61.4 (62.2 on road) while holding opposing teams to a mere 37.8% from the field. While there are plenty of storylines in play here, like Roy Williams facing his old team, perhaps the biggest is the status of Kendall Marshall. The Tar Heels point guard has a broken bone in his right wrist. Even if he did manage to somehow play, its hard to imagine him being at 100%. Given that Williams refers to Marshall as "our engine, our driver, the head of the thing" his potential absence - or the fact that he won't be 100% - is a major blow. The Tar Heels are obviously loaded with talent and can make up for that type of loss against teams like Ohio. However, this is Kansas - another team which is filled with bigtime talent. Roy Williams doesn't get to face his old team often - the only previous time that he did, the Jayhawks crushed the Tar Heels - a 2008 meeting in the Final 4. Playing at St. Louis, in front of what will surely be a pro Kansas crowd, I expect the Jayhawks to get the better of Williams and co. once again. *10