Burns' *10* BLUE MARLIN BLOWOUT! ~ 11-2-1 L14 BMs!: While it was a disappointing (3-4) day overall, Ben Burns did nail another "Blue Marlin" selection yesterday. These "TOP OF THE FOOD CHAIN" PREDATORS are now an AWESOME 11-2-1 the last 14. Last Sunday's "Blue Marlin" was a -14 point favorite which WON BY 34 POINTS. This week's isn't as big a fav but Ben is expecting another B-L-O-W-O-U-T!
Game: Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers Mar 25 2012 9:05PM
Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on PORTLAND. Many will look at the fact that the Blazers are off a loss and that they have now dropped 10 of 14. They'll then wonder how this team can be laying such a large number. However, I feel that they're favored by this much for good reason. A closer look shows that Portland has actually been much better since firing Nate McMillan. The Blazers beat the Bulls (at Chicago) by double-digits. They weren't that good in their next two games, losing vs. OKC and Milwaukee. However, they've gone 2-0 ATS in their last two games, beating Memphis and covering (but losing) vs. LA. I expect the Blazers to be highly motivated to bounce back with a better effort. After losing vs. the Lakers, a game the Blazers led early, JJ Hickson commented: "We have got to rebound. This is where the game was lost. We fought hard enough. That’s the first time that coach has come into the locker room and said he admired the way we fought. We just have to get ready to play Golden State.” While the Blazers had yesterday off, the Warriors were involved in a hard-fought game (111-108 win) vs. Sacramento. They actually haven't been too bad when playing the second of back-to-back games. However, this is worse than a typical b2b spot, as they'll also be playing their fourth game in five days. Going back further finds that this will be Golden State's 11 game in the past 16 days. (During the same period, a stretch dating back to 3/10, the Blazers have played eight games.) While the Warriors are 9-13 on the road, the Blazers are 15-8 at home. That includes a 4-2 SU/ATS mark as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. With the schedule in their favor, I expect them to improve on those stats in convincing fashion here. *10