Past Results

Guaranteed Pick: Hollywood Sports

Hollywood Sports' SUNDAY ALL-ACCESS TRIPLE FEATURE: Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports LOVES THE ELITE EIGHT where he owns a SENSATIONAL 6-2 (75%) mark since 2010! Frank has THREE MORE WINNERS on Sunday -- headlined by his 25* NCAA Tournament Total of the Year! Get ALL THREE WINNERS -- GUARANTEED TO CA$H -- for a special discounted price RIGHT HERE!

Game: Kansas at North Carolina Mar 25 2012 5:05PM
Prediction: Kansas
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 5:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels in the Quarterfinals of the NCAA Tournament. The stat-line for freshman point guard Stillman White looks great from his first start of the season against Ohio: 6 assists to 0 turnovers. But this is one of those instances where watching the game tells a different story. The freshman played tentatively and the Tar Heels' offense was out of synch for most of the game with Kendall Marshall missing due to his broken wrist. While White did not turn the ball over, coach Roy Williams had his other four players on the floor touch the basketball -- and the result was 24 total turnovers in a whopping 30% of their possessions. Not only is White a seriously weak link on the floor for the Tar Heels, but the absence of Marshall damages North Carolina's on-court chemistry. While the Tar Heels were able to hang on for their 73-65 win in overtime over the Bobcats, the loss of Marshall and the lack of credible backups is just too much to overcome against an elite team like Kansas. As it is, North Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range.

Kansas (30-6) gutted out a 60-57 win as an 8.5-point favorite against North Carolina State on the strength of their defensive effort. The Wolfpack shot just 28% from inside the arc and 29% from beyond the 3-point line. The Jayhawks' Jeff Withey was a beast down low with his ten blocks that set a tone that explains NC State's poor shooting performance. We look for Kansas to play one of their best games in the tournament now that they have survived upset situations against the Wolfpack and Purdue. The Jayhawks have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games as a favorite of under 7 points. Senior guard Tyshawn Taylor is poised for a breakout game as he has yet to make a 3-pointer in the tournament in 12 attempts after nailing 45% of his shots from behind the arc during the season. And with Thomas Robinson in the middle, Kansas has plenty of big men to counter the super North Carolina front line. The Jayhawks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of under 7 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 33-13-2 ATS combined winning angle for this situation. 25* CBB Sunday Elite 8 Special Feature with the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

Kendall Marshall Update: CBS just reported that Marshall took part in limited workouts on Saturday and he will be a game-time decision for this game. This play remains unchanged even if he does play because (a) he will not be nearly 100% with one of his dribbling hands being fractured and (b) White will still need to play too many minutes. Frankly, this would probably still be a play even if Marshall was never injured.

Game: Baylor at Kentucky Mar 25 2012 2:20PM
Prediction: Kentucky
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 2:20 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points versus the Baylor Bears in the Quarterfinals of the NCAA Tournament. Indiana shot 52.2% from the field and played about as well as they can on Friday -- yet Kentucky was just too much for them in the Wildcats' 102-90 win in a game they controlled pretty much for the entire 40 minutes. The Wildcats got to the line 36 times and converted 34 of these charity stripe shots for a sizzling 94.6% free throw percentage. Kentucky also only turned the ball over six times while outrebounding the Hoosiers by a 39-31 margin. The Wildcats covered the 10-point spread -- and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread win. Kentucky has also covered 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And John Calipari's teams have now covered 4 of their last 5 games in the NCAA Tournament as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range.

Baylor (30-7) enters the Elite 8 after their 75-70 win versus Xavier. The Bears converted 24 of their 42 shots inside the arc (57%) which was far better than their 42% shooting percentage with their 2-point shots in their first two games in the tournament. We expect some regression -- especially when facing the tough Kentucky defense. The Wildcats' opponent's effective field goal percentage* of 42.2% is best in the nation. Baylor also put the Musketeers on the free throw line 24 times -- a whopping 43% free throw attempt-to-field goal attempt ratio. The Wildcats will bury them if the Bears foul as much against them as they did Xavier. While there is no question that Baylor has great talent, too often their play on the court has not met the expectations of their accumulation of talent. Too often Baylor suffers lapses on the defensive end of the court. They turn the ball over at a 20.4% rate which is 180th in the nation. And they allow their opponents to rebound 32.3% of their missed shots (182nd in the nation). Ultimately, we consider the fact that the Bears were a combined 1-5 in their five games against Kansas and Missouri this season -- their two toughest competitors this season (before now). Not only did Baylor fail to win their share of games against these two teams, but four of their five losses were by a minimum of 14 points. Lastly, the Bears have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games following a straight-up victory. Together, these team trends produce our specific 25-7 ATS combined winning angle for this situation. 20* CBB Baylor-Kentucky ATS Special with the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points versus the Baylor Bears. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

*eFG: Effective Field Goal percentage takes a team's field goal percentage and then assigns 50% more value to successfully converted 3-point shots since those baskets are 50% more valuable than made 2-pointers. This metric is preferred since it takes into account the frequency of made 3-pointers.

Game: Kansas at North Carolina Mar 25 2012 5:05PM
Prediction: under
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: At 5:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks and the North Carolina Tar Heels in the Quarterfinals of the NCAA Tournament. The loss of Kendall Marshall hurts the North Carolina offense in two ways. First, anytime a team loses their point guard, the chemistry on the offensive end of the court is hurt. Secondly, freshman point guard Stillman White is a weak link on the offensive end of the court. His stat line of six assists to zero turnovers is deceptive because he was not much a playmaker. White is not a threat to score -- he only took four shots last night. He was tentative with the basketball and Williams had more of the other four players on the court control the basketball -- which helps explain their 24 turnovers against the Bobcats. White's presence on the court did not hour the Tar Heels' defensive effort, however, as they held Ohio to just a 32.4% shooting percentage. North Carolina has now played 4 of their last 5 NCAA Tournament games Under the Total. And in their last 21 games as an underdog of under 7 points, the Tar Heels have seen the Under go 15-5-1.

Kansas (30-6) comes off their 60-57 win over NC State as an 8.5-point favorite -- and the Jayhawks have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. Kansas did it on the defense end by holding the Wolfpack to just a 28% shooting percentage with their 2-pointers and a 29% shooting percentage from behind the arc. The Jayhawks have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total played on a neutral court. Kansas has also played 14 of their last 17 NCAA Tournament games Under the Total as a favorite in the Bill Self era. And in their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Under is 19-7-1 for Kansas. Together, these team trends produce our specific 75-23-2 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Under is supported by a historical situation that has been 66% effective since 1997. After fifteen games into the season with the Total set in the 140-149.5 range, when both teams shoot 32-36.5% from behind the arc (Kansas: 34.6%; North Carolina: 34.1%) and one of the teams comes off a game where they held their opponent to a shooting percentage of 33% or less, this game then finished Under the Total in 97 of the last 147 situations where these conditions applied. Without the services of Marshall on the floor, we look for Williams to slow the pace of this game down to compensate for their freshman point guard. We look for Self to oblige and let this game become a slow grind. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks and the North Carolina Tar Heels. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

Kendall Marshall Update: CBS just reported that Marshall took part in limited workouts on Saturday and he will be a game-time decision for this game. This play remains unchanged even if he does play because (a) he will not be nearly 100% with one of his dribbling hands being fractured and (b) White will still need to play too many minutes. Frankly, this would probably still be a play even if Marshall was never injured.