Hollywood Sports' 25* ELITE 8 SPECIAL FEATURE: Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports OWNS March Madness with his SPECTACULAR 36-18 (67%) mark with his highest-rated 25* NCAA Tourney plays! Frank THRIVES in the Elite 8 where he is a SENSATIONAL 6-2 (75%) over the last three years. Frank LOVES the situation brewing between Kansas & UNC -- JOIN him for this 25* SPECIAL FEATURE!
Game: Kansas at North Carolina Mar 25 2012 5:05PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 5:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels in the Quarterfinals of the NCAA Tournament. The stat-line for freshman point guard Stillman White looks great from his first start of the season against Ohio: 6 assists to 0 turnovers. But this is one of those instances where watching the game tells a different story. The freshman played tentatively and the Tar Heels' offense was out of synch for most of the game with Kendall Marshall missing due to his broken wrist. While White did not turn the ball over, coach Roy Williams had his other four players on the floor touch the basketball -- and the result was 24 total turnovers in a whopping 30% of their possessions. Not only is White a seriously weak link on the floor for the Tar Heels, but the absence of Marshall damages North Carolina's on-court chemistry. While the Tar Heels were able to hang on for their 73-65 win in overtime over the Bobcats, the loss of Marshall and the lack of credible backups is just too much to overcome against an elite team like Kansas. As it is, North Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range.
Kansas (30-6) gutted out a 60-57 win as an 8.5-point favorite against North Carolina State on the strength of their defensive effort. The Wolfpack shot just 28% from inside the arc and 29% from beyond the 3-point line. The Jayhawks' Jeff Withey was a beast down low with his ten blocks that set a tone that explains NC State's poor shooting performance. We look for Kansas to play one of their best games in the tournament now that they have survived upset situations against the Wolfpack and Purdue. The Jayhawks have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games as a favorite of under 7 points. Senior guard Tyshawn Taylor is poised for a breakout game as he has yet to make a 3-pointer in the tournament in 12 attempts after nailing 45% of his shots from behind the arc during the season. And with Thomas Robinson in the middle, Kansas has plenty of big men to counter the super North Carolina front line. The Jayhawks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of under 7 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 33-13-2 ATS combined winning angle for this situation. 25* CBB Sunday Elite 8 Special Feature with the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
Kendall Marshall Update: CBS just reported that Marshall took part in limited workouts on Saturday and he will be a game-time decision for this game. This play remains unchanged even if he does play because (a) he will not be nearly 100% with one of his dribbling hands being fractured and (b) White will still need to play too many minutes. Frankly, this would probably still be a play even if Marshall was never injured.