Past Results

Guaranteed Pick: Hollywood Sports

Hollywood Sports' WED ALL-ACCESS TRIPLE FEATURE: Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports enjoys a SIZZLING 28-15 (65%) CBB tournament run which he puts on the line Wednesday with THREE WINNERS -- including his 25* NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Month and headlined by his 25* CIT Game of the Year! Get ALL THREE WINNERS -- GUARANTEED TO CA$H -- for a discounted price RIGHT HERE!

Game: Mercer at Old Dominion Mar 21 2012 7:00PM
Prediction: Mercer
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Mercer Bears plus the points versus the Old Dominion Monarchs in the Quarterfinals of the College Invitational Tournament. This is an interesting matchup because both these teams come off games against rivals from their respective conferences. Mercer (24-11) hosted in-state rival Georgia State out of the Colonial Athletic Association and grinded out a 64-59 win as a 3-point underdog. We look for the Bears to feed off their momentum here as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games following a straight-up victory. Mercer has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Don't underestimate this Bears team that finished second in the Atlantic Sun conference with their 14-5 record which was just behind the well-respected Belmont team. Mercer was also second in the conference with their net Efficiency Margin of +0.10 Points-Per-Possession (Offensive PPP: 1.06; Defensive PPP: 0.96) against Atlantic Sun competition. Holding conference opponents to just a 0.96 PPP scoring rate was best int he Atlantic Sun. It is this strong defense that should keep the Bears in this game. They have covered 4 of their last 5 games against non-conference opponents. This effort on defense translates well when on the road as well where Mercer held their opponents to just a 40.4% shooting percentage to earn them a 9-8 record. The Bears have covered 7 of their last 8 road games as an underdog. And while the Monarchs were 12-6 at home this season, Mercer has covered 6 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

Old Dominion (22-13) comes off their 65-52 win versus South Carolina Upstate as a 9-point favorite -- and because they come out of the Atlantic Sun as well, this is where some comparisons get interesting. SC-Upstate had a net Efficiency Margin of +0.06 PPP in conference play which suggests Mercer will offer a tougher test against the Monarchs. Old Dominion themselves finished third in the Colonial Athletic Association with their net Efficiency Margin of +0.12 PPP (Offensive PPP: 1.00; Defensive PPP: 0.88) against conference opponents. But Mercer just dispatched of a Georgia State team that finished with a net Efficiency Margin of +0.10 PPP (Offensive PPP: 0.98; Defensive PPP: 0.88) against Colonial Athletic Association competitors. This shapes up to be a low-scoring defensive struggle which makes the 7 or so points that the Bears will be getting very valuable. Old Dominion is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Monarchs are also just 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 home games as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. Old Dominion has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This is a relatively young team that lost four senior starters from last year's club that finished 27-7 and lost in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament to Butler. The Monarchs are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams outside the Colonial Athletic Association. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-8-2 ATS combined winning angle for this situation. Lastly, because Mercer has held their last two opponents to just 18 and 21 points at halftime in their last two games, they are supported by a road warrior angle that has been 64% effective over the last five seasons. After fifteen games into the season, road teams that score 67-74 PPG (Mercer: 67.9 PPG) who have held their last two opponents to 30 points or less at the half who now face a team that scores 63-67 PPG (Old Dominion: 65.6 PPG) have then covered the point spread in 117 of the last 182 situations where these conditions applied. 25* College Invitational Tournament Game of the Year with the Mercer Bears plus the points versus the Old Dominion Monarchs. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

Game: Nevada at Stanford Mar 21 2012 9:00PM
Prediction: Nevada
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Nevada Wolf Pack plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal in the Quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. Led by sophomore sensation Deonte Burton, Nevada (28-6) returned all five starters from last season's club -- and these five players started every single game this year. The Wolf Pack dominated WAC play this season by going 13-1 which earned controlled first place by three games over New Mexico State. The Aggies did upset Nevada in the conference tournament but this club is motivated to play in the NIT after two wins at Oral Roberts and then home against Bucknell on Monday. The Wolf Pack should keep up their momentum here as they are 12-3-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread victory. This veteran crew has developed great chemistry that has helped them earn a 10-2 record on the road with an average winning margin of +5.6 PPG. Nevada has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games on the road. And while Stanford was 16-3 on the road this season, the Wolf Pack have covered the spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

Stanford (23-11) is the opposite of this Nevada team in that coach Johnny Dawkins has shuffled his roster with fourteen different starting lineups this season. This club enters the Quarterfinals of the NIT off their 92-88 overtime win versus Illinois State on Monday. While the Cardinal shot a sizzling 51.5% from the field, the fact that they let the Redbirds convert 15 of 30 (50%) from behind the arc themselves is cause for concern. We look for Stanford to find themselves in another close game here since they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against against teams outside the Pac-12. Additionally, the Cardinal have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 35-7-1 combined winning angle for this situation. Lastly, because Stanford holds their opponents to 63.7 PPG, they fall into an empirical "play-against" angle that has been 72% effective over the last five seasons. Home teams that allow 63-67 PPG who come off a game where both teams scored at least 80 points have then failed to cover the point spread in 39 of their last 54 situations where these conditions applied. Teams with good chemistry tend to be tough "outs" in tournament play. Nevada fits that mold here. 20* CBB Road Warrior Wipeout with the Nevada Wolf Pack plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

Game: Nevada at Stanford Mar 21 2012 9:00PM
Prediction: over
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Stanford Cardinal in the Quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. Nevada (28-6) shot 50.0% from the field en route to their 75-67 win over Bucknell in the Sweet 16 of the NIT as a 3-point favorite. The Wolf Pack have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total following a straight-up victory. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Nevada returned all five starters from last season's team so this crew is very experienced and will not be intimidated with playing on the road. The Wolf Pack average 73.8 PPG on 45.7% shooting and a nice 38.1% clip from behind the arc. Stanford was 16-3 on the road this season -- but the Wolf Pack have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Nevada has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

Stanford (23-11) comes off a wild 92-88 overtime victory versus Illinois State on Monday in a game where they shot 51.5% from the field fueled by a red hot 12 of 20 (60%) from behind the arc. But the concern for the Cardinal is that they allowed the Redbirds to shoot 15 of 30 (50%) from behind the arc themselves. We look for another wild one in this one since Stanford has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total following a straight-up victory. The Cardinal has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Stanford has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when installed as the favorite. And the Cardinal have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against against teams outside the Pac-12. Together, these team trends produce our specific 44-11 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Over is supported by an empirical angle that has been 63% effective over the last five seasons. After fifteen games into the season with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range between two teams that shoot at least 36.5% from behind the arc, when one of the teams turns the ball no more than 14.5 times per game (Nevada: 14 turnovers per game) now facing a team that forces 14.5-17.5 turnovers per game (Stanford defense: 15 turnovers per game), these games have then gone Over the Total in 104 of the last 164 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CBB NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Nevada Wolf Pack and the Stanford Cardinal. Best of luck for us -- Frank.