Hollywood Sports' 25* CIT GAME OF THE YEAR!: Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports was 2-1 overall on Tuesday to continue his RED HOT 39-18 (68%) WINNING STREAK in All-Sports. Frank also enjoys a SIZZLING 28-15 (65%) CBB tournament run which he tests with his 25* CIT Game of the Year which is backed by a DOMINANT 48-8 combined winning angle. DO NOT MISS IT!
Game: Mercer at Old Dominion Mar 21 2012 7:00PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Mercer Bears plus the points versus the Old Dominion Monarchs in the Quarterfinals of the College Invitational Tournament. This is an interesting matchup because both these teams come off games against rivals from their respective conferences. Mercer (24-11) hosted in-state rival Georgia State out of the Colonial Athletic Association and grinded out a 64-59 win as a 3-point underdog. We look for the Bears to feed off their momentum here as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games following a straight-up victory. Mercer has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Don't underestimate this Bears team that finished second in the Atlantic Sun conference with their 14-5 record which was just behind the well-respected Belmont team. Mercer was also second in the conference with their net Efficiency Margin of +0.10 Points-Per-Possession (Offensive PPP: 1.06; Defensive PPP: 0.96) against Atlantic Sun competition. Holding conference opponents to just a 0.96 PPP scoring rate was best int he Atlantic Sun. It is this strong defense that should keep the Bears in this game. They have covered 4 of their last 5 games against non-conference opponents. This effort on defense translates well when on the road as well where Mercer held their opponents to just a 40.4% shooting percentage to earn them a 9-8 record. The Bears have covered 7 of their last 8 road games as an underdog. And while the Monarchs were 12-6 at home this season, Mercer has covered 6 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
Old Dominion (22-13) comes off their 65-52 win versus South Carolina Upstate as a 9-point favorite -- and because they come out of the Atlantic Sun as well, this is where some comparisons get interesting. SC-Upstate had a net Efficiency Margin of +0.06 PPP in conference play which suggests Mercer will offer a tougher test against the Monarchs. Old Dominion themselves finished third in the Colonial Athletic Association with their net Efficiency Margin of +0.12 PPP (Offensive PPP: 1.00; Defensive PPP: 0.88) against conference opponents. But Mercer just dispatched of a Georgia State team that finished with a net Efficiency Margin of +0.10 PPP (Offensive PPP: 0.98; Defensive PPP: 0.88) against Colonial Athletic Association competitors. This shapes up to be a low-scoring defensive struggle which makes the 7 or so points that the Bears will be getting very valuable. Old Dominion is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Monarchs are also just 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 home games as a favorite in the 7-12.5 point range. Old Dominion has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This is a relatively young team that lost four senior starters from last year's club that finished 27-7 and lost in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament to Butler. The Monarchs are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams outside the Colonial Athletic Association. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-8-2 ATS combined winning angle for this situation. Lastly, because Mercer has held their last two opponents to just 18 and 21 points at halftime in their last two games, they are supported by a road warrior angle that has been 64% effective over the last five seasons. After fifteen games into the season, road teams that score 67-74 PPG (Mercer: 67.9 PPG) who have held their last two opponents to 30 points or less at the half who now face a team that scores 63-67 PPG (Old Dominion: 65.6 PPG) have then covered the point spread in 117 of the last 182 situations where these conditions applied. 25* College Insider Tournament Game of the Year with the Mercer Bears plus the points versus the Old Dominion Monarchs. Best of luck for us -- Frank.