Hollywood Sports' ROAD WARRIOR WIPEOUT: Frank Sawyer's Hollywood Sports was 2-1 on Tuesday to keep his RED HOT 39-18 (68%) All-Sports run! Two of the three road teams in CBB action covered the spread on Tuesday -- and Frank spots a team ready to TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS on the road tonight while being backed by an EXPLOSIVE 35-7 combined winning angle. GET ON-BOARD!
Game: Nevada at Stanford Mar 21 2012 9:00PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Nevada Wolf Pack plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal in the Quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. Led by sophomore sensation Deonte Burton, Nevada (28-6) returned all five starters from last season's club -- and these five players started every single game this year. The Wolf Pack dominated WAC play this season by going 13-1 which earned controlled first place by three games over New Mexico State. The Aggies did upset Nevada in the conference tournament but this club is motivated to play in the NIT after two wins at Oral Roberts and then home against Bucknell on Monday. The Wolf Pack should keep up their momentum here as they are 12-3-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread victory. This veteran crew has developed great chemistry that has helped them earn a 10-2 record on the road with an average winning margin of +5.6 PPG. Nevada has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games on the road. And while Stanford was 16-3 on the road this season, the Wolf Pack have covered the spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
Stanford (23-11) is the opposite of this Nevada team in that coach Johnny Dawkins has shuffled his roster with fourteen different starting lineups this season. This club enters the Quarterfinals of the NIT off their 92-88 overtime win versus Illinois State on Monday. While the Cardinal shot a sizzling 51.5% from the field, the fact that they let the Redbirds convert 15 of 30 (50%) from behind the arc themselves is cause for concern. We look for Stanford to find themselves in another close game here since they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against against teams outside the Pac-12. Additionally, the Cardinal have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 35-7-1 combined winning angle for this situation. Lastly, because Stanford holds their opponents to 63.7 PPG, they fall into an empirical "play-against" angle that has been 72% effective over the last five seasons. Home teams that allow 63-67 PPG who come off a game where both teams scored at least 80 points have then failed to cover the point spread in 39 of their last 54 situations where these conditions applied. Teams with good chemistry tend to be tough "outs" in tournament play. Nevada fits that mold here. 20* CBB Road Warrior Wipeout with the Nevada Wolf Pack plus the points versus the Stanford Cardinal. Best of luck for us -- Frank.