Past Results

Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Larry Ness' Conference Crusher (22-8-1 s/Feb 12): Larry made it a 2-0 NBA sweep on Sunday, upping his Y-T-D record to 54-29-1 or 53-29-2 with all releases. He opens the new week on a current 22-8-1 (73%) NBA run s/Feb 12 and you won't want to get caught on the sidelines for his latest Conference Crusher. Larry's 'ASSAULT' on the NBA pointspread continues. Want in?

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Mar 19 2012 10:35PM
Prediction: Denver Nuggets
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: My 9* Conference Crusher is on the Den Nuggets at 10:35 ET.

The Dallas Mavericks have won three in a row (beat the Spurs Saturday night) since briefly dropping to eighth place in the Western Conference last week. The team is currently off the playoff bubble’ but for the defending champs to remain inside of the ‘Mendoza line,’ they’ll have to start winning on the road. This year’s group is a far cry from last year’s team, which tied Miami for the league's best road record at 28-13. Dallas (26-20) is 8-13 away home this year and currently is on a seven-game road losing streak (last lost eight straight on the road back in 1999), averaging 91.9 PPG during its slide. Denver (25-20) is one-half game behind the Mavericks, sitting seventh in the West. The Nuggets lead the NBA in scoring at 103.7 PPG but give up nearly that many (101.3 per). However, the team did clamp down on the defensive end of the court Saturday night, holding the Celtics without a FG in the final 3:28 of a 97-91 win. The Nuggets sent Nene to Washington but the oft-injured player was expendable with the continued maturation of 6-8 rookie Faried (9.0-7.3). He had 18 points and 16 rebounds vs Boston and in a recent 11-game stretch averaged 11.8-8.2, despite scoring a grand total of just four points in two of those contest (time when Gallinari and Nene were out for part of that span). Gallinari (15.6-4.9) is back healthy and remains Denver’s best scorer. Al Harrington (14.4-6.4) is a major contributor off the bench in the frontcourt while the 7-0 Mozgozv (5.6-4.5) isn’t bad. The perimeter group is talented and deep with PG Lawson (15.3-6.8 APG) being backed up by Miller (10.3-6.6 APG) with Afflalo (13.4), Brewer (9.9) and Fernandez (8.8) all capable of scoring. This team is even deeper now with the acquisition of the 7-0 LaVale Mc Gee (11.9-8.8 with Washington) in the trade for Nene and the recent signing Wilson Chandler (12.5-5.0 in 21 games with Denver, after coming over with gallinari in the ‘Melo trade) to a five-year deal Sunday. Dallas has begun a brutal part of its schedule, with NINE straight against teams in playoff position. Note that Dallas’ win over the Spurs on Saturday, marked the first for the Mavericks over a top-eight team in the West since a 102-84 home victory over Denver on Feb 15. Denver won the first of this year’s three meetings between these two teams, 115-83 in Dallas (on Dec 26), before Dallas won 105-95 in Denver on Feb 8 and then again as just mentioned, on Feb 15 in Dallas. Note that the Mavs last won TWICE in Denver in the same season, way back in 2002-03. It’s amazing how far the Mavs have fallen in less than a full season. Lay it with Denver.

Good luck...Larry