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Game: Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors Mar 19 2012 10:35PM
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: 15* graded play on Minnesota as rthey take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET.. The simulator shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 60-30 ATS for 67% winners since 1996. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 and is a poor rebounding team outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game and after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more. Minnesota is not the best passing team in the league, but they are not horrible either by this year’s reuslts and rankings However, Golden Stat is just 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game this season. What this reflects is that teams are able to exploit Golden State’s defensive weaknesses by using an abundance of isolation in half-court sets. Golden State ranks 29th averaging just 46.7 boards per game. Minnesota ranks third best in the NBA averaging 53.3 rebounds per game. Moreover, they rank sixth averaging 12.7 offensive boards per game. I strongly believe that Minnesota will get far more second chance scoring opportunities in this game and could easily have close to 20 offensive boards in this game. Take Minnesota.