Ryan’s Three Pack 15* Titans’ 90% situation: Ryan went 1-1-1 ATS yesterday with his Three Pack of 15* Titans and looks to improve on that mark with thew Friday second day action in the NCAA Tournament. All of these plays are backed by his extensive research showing you why he is expecting a sweep ATS of these plays. One is back by 47-5 ATS situations for 90% winners.
Game: Alabama at Creighton Mar 16 2012 1:40PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: 15* graded play on Alabama as they take on Creighton in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 1:40 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Alabama will win this game. The sim shows a high probability that Alabama will have a successful game on the offensive end executing a high level. They are projected to score between 67 and 74 points and connect on 47 to 53% of their shot attempts. In past games, Alabama is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Creighton is just 33-88 ATS (-63.8 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Take Alabama.
Game: Virginia at Florida Mar 16 2012 2:10PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: 15* graded play on Florida as they take on Virginia in the second round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 2:10 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Florida will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 113-62 ATS for 65% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick after one or more consecutive ‘overs’ and now facing an opponent after three or more consecutive ‘overs’. Sim shows a high probability that Florida will score between 67 and 74 points in this game. In past games, UVA is just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Florida is in a series of strong roles for this game noting they are 13-3 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last three seasons; 16-5 ATS facing excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last two seasons. Take Florida
Game: Lehigh at Duke Mar 16 2012 7:15PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: 15* graded play on Lehigh as they take on Duke set to start at 7:15 PM ET My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Lehigh will lose this game by 11 or fewer points.Sim shows several projections that greatly favor Lehigh in this game. Lehigh is projected to take 54 to 62 shots, make 31 to 27% of their three points shot attempts, and to have between 10 and 13 turnovers in this game. In past games Lehigh is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last three seasons; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last three seasons. Moreover, Lehigh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers per game over the last three seasons. Duke has not done well against strong defensive teams like Lehigh noting they are just 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing shooting percentage defense of <=42% this season. Lehigh is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after three consecutive conference games over the last 3 seasons. Granted, Lehigh does not have the SOS comparable to Duke, but they are a fundamentally sound team that is going to give Duke fits. They are an excellent ball handling team and I do believe they can match the rebounding stats that Duke will put up in this game. This keeps Duke to a minimum of second chance scoring opportunities and will be a dominant reason that Duke may have to fight for their Tournament lives.