Burns' **10** BEST BET ~ AWESOME 39-19 L11 Days!: Ben Burns went 5-3 yesterday, improving to 24-8 the L6 Thursdays. Overall, Burns is now a BLISTERTING 39-19 the L11 days. Here, Burns has UNLOADED on his latest "Best Bet." If you don't mind "taking a few points," you're going to LOVE this BEAUTY. Go get it!
Game: Long Island Brooklyn at Michigan State Mar 16 2012 9:20PM
Prediction: Long Island Brooklyn
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on LONG ISLAND BROOKLYN. Many don't know much about Long Island University. The Blackbirds and their coach believe though. They've been here before and aren't coming here to get blown out. I expect them to hang around and give the Spartans a tougher test than they bargained for. The Spartans closed out the season on a great run and earned their #1 seed. Obviously, they're very well coached. However, they're not built like #1 seeds often are and arguably don't have the talent of teams like North Carolina or Kentucky. Speaking of UNC, note that the North Carolina is laying a considerably smaller number against Vermont today than Michigan State is laying against LIU. Yet, I've already stated I feel UNC has more talent than the Spartans - AND this LIU team defeated Vermont when those two teams faced each other. I make the comparison to the UNC/Vermont line, as I feel it helps give some perspective to this high number. (Note that LIU covered against UNC last year in the tournament, hanging with the Heels into the second half and losing by only 15, despite playing at Charlotte.) The Blackbirds lost a couple of players from last year's NCAA Tournament team and took a while to get rolling. They did though and won both the regular season and tournament in their conference. Listening to a lengthy interview with their coach on the radio and I believe he genuinely has his team feeling they can compete here. Keep in mind that they averaged 81.9 points per game this season, hitting nearly 48% of their shots. While they're likely to give up a lot of points here, they should also be able to score quite a few. Even if they do get down, they're unlikely to stop scoring, like some more defensive-oriented teams tend to do. Julian Boyd, who had 18 points and 12 rebounds in the first round game against UNC last year, had this to say of his team: "I feel we're a lot better than a 16 seed would usually be. And with this team I think we've proven a lot over the past two years. So we've won a lot of games. We've come together." The Spartans, 0-3 ATS in their last three first round Tournament games, are just 5-11-1 ATS the last 17 times that they were favored on a neutral court by more than a dozen points. They're also only 2-4 ATS the last six times they played a game with an O/U line in the 150s. I don't really expect the Blackbirds to pull off the miracle - but I won't be surprised if they come a lot closer to doing so than most will be expecting. *10