Burns' **10** PERSONAL FAVORITE! (HUGE 6-1-1 L8!): Ben Burns enters the weekend off a WICKED 5-1 Thurs/Friday. Ben's "Personal Favorites" represent THE BEST OF THE BEST, his HIGHEST RATED "chalk" releases. These SPECIAL TICKETS have been a MAJOR CASH COW for more than a decade & are currently on a POWERFUL 6-1-1 STREAK. The last one was a -4.5 point favorite that WON BY 40 POINTS!
Game: Mississippi State at Alabama Feb 25 2012 6:00PM
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on ALABAMA. The Bulldogs have the slightly better overall record and they beat Alabama already this season. However, I feel the Tide are the stronger team and believe that they're favored for good reason here. In fact, given the venue and the way the two teams are currently playing, I feel the line could easily be higher. The earlier meeting was at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs, who won that one by a score of 56-52, are 15-3 at home. However, they're only 4-6 away from home, going 2-5 SU/ATS in "true" road games, 1-5 SU/ATS in 2012. The loss at Mississippi State started a 4-game slide for the Tide. Alabama is back in the groove again now though; its last two games (vs. Tennessee and at Arkansas) both resulted in double-digit victories. The recent suspensions handed out seemingly did this team some good. They're expected to have JaMychal Green back today, as he's been reinstated. While the Tide are starting to roll, the Bulldogs are currently going through a tough stretch. In fact, they've lost four straight. Losing at home vs. Kentucky wasn't so bad. However, their previous three losses came against Auburn, LSU and Georgia. None of those teams have a record as good as Alabama. Note that Rodney Hood was injured last game and that he's currently listed as doubtful. Note that the Bulldogs may have covered vs. Kentucky (still lost by 9) but that they haven't covered the spread twice in a row this entire year. They're 0-4 ATS off a cover in 2012. Overall, they're 4-10 ATS dating back to New Year's Eve. The Tide have won 30 of their last 33 in this building. With this one on ESPN and being a "big game" and being their second to last home game, Coleman Coliseum will surely be rocking. They've dominated the Bulldogs here, including a 14 point win (as a -12 point favorite) here last season. The Tide are 10-6 the last 16 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. They're playing better than the Bulldogs right now and with the support of their energetic home crowd helping them, I expect them to improve on those stats in convincing fashion. *10 (Personal Favorite)