SCOTT SPREITZER'S CONF ROAD WARRIOR G.O.M.! *100%!: Scott Spreitzer has owned the books, winning all 3 Saturday February cards, including a perfect 5-0, 100% mark with college underdogs. This particular dog is Scott's CONF ROAD WARRIOR *GAME OF THE MONTH!* Scott's side is backed by 100% and 80% winning spots. Grab it here, then extend the run to 6-0, 100% ATS!
Game: Missouri St. at Evansville Feb 25 2012 2:00PM
Prediction: Missouri St.
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm taking the points with Missouri State on Saturday afternoon. This is a battle between Missouri State's strong defensive approach against an Evansville team that relies on Colt Ryan on the offensive end and very little tenacity on defense. The Purple Aces allow 71.4 ppg on 48.2% shooting, including 37.7% from area code 3. They rank 278th, 336th, and 314th in those categories, respectively. Evansville is off a tough emotional loss at Creighton, blowing a lead and losing 93-92 in OT. The Aces couldn't have played much better on the offensive end, making 58.9% of their FGA, 8 of 14 treys, and finished with 25 assists and just 12 turnovers. Colt Ryan "went off" for 43 points on 17 of 24 shooting...yet they lost. Now they'll face the tough Bears' defense that allows just 62.3 ppg on 40.6% shooting. Missouri State has lost 3 straight and Kyle Weems, last year's MVC Player of the Year has been struggling. But facing the "leaky" Evansville defense will turn things around. Missouri State also has one of the best defenders in the entire league in guard Keith Pickens who matches up against Colt Ryan. Missouri State hit rock-bottom in their 59-46 home loss to Indiana State last time out, making just 2 3-pointers and 4 free throws. I expect the Bears to "shock" the Aces in both team's regular season finale. Missouri State is on an 80% ATS run as a road dog of less than 7 points and the underdog in this series is on a 4-0-1 ATS run. I'm grabbing the points with Missouri State on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott.