Burns' **10** BEST OF THE BEST ~ TOP SUNDAY SIDE!: Ben Burns is having a BIG WEEK in the NBA & he nailed his lone play in the pros yesterday. Burns WON BIG last Sunday incl. a DOUBLE-DIGIT WINNER w/ his TOP HOOPS SIDE. He's STEPPING OUT LARGE here. So should you!
Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns Feb 19 2012 8:05PM
Prediction: Phoenix Suns
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing on PHOENIX. If you read my O/U report from this same game, you know that these teams just faced each other at LA, a couple of nights ago. You'll also know that the Lakers won that one convincingly, a 111-99 victory. Tonight's rematch is at Phoenix though. I expect the revenge-minded Suns to bounce back and return the favor. While the Lakers are favored here, that's certainly not due to their play on the road this season. Indeed, they're an awful 5-10 SU as the road team, going an even worse 4-11 ATS. They've been outscored 95.8 to 90.7 in those games. While the Lakers have won three straight, note that they're an ugly 1-4 ATS the last five times that they were off three straight wins, going a money-burning 33-40-1 ATS in that situation the past few seasons. While the Suns admittedly haven't been great at home either, they've been better here than the Lakers have been on the road. This team is still 66-37 SU here the past few seasons. True, the Suns have struggled lately. With 2-time MVP Steve Nash rested, they're still a dangerous team though - particularly when motivated. Nash, who had 17 assists in Friday's game, leads the league at 10.9 assists per game. He's also capable of taking over himself though and I won't be surprised if he looks to score more himself in this one. Desperate to snap their skid, playing with immediate revenge and with Kobe essentially "trash-talking" them, I expect we'll see the best of the Suns here. Most likely, the ATS winner of this game will also be the SU winner. However, with the Suns getting a few points, its worth noting that three of the last six games played on this floor have been decided by three points or less, two of them by two points. The Suns are 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS off a double-digit loss. They're 23-17 SU their last 40 in that situation. They're also 4-2-1 ATS (4-3 SU) off a game in which they allowed 105 or more points. I expect them to improve on those stats here. *10