Burns' CBB REVENGE GAME OF THE WEEK! (VERY EARLY!): Ben Burns WON HUGE last Sunday & his "Top Revenge Play" on Fairfield led the way. An underdog, the Stags WON BY 17! EARLY this afternoon, Burns DOES IT AGAIN. Better hurry!
Game: Michigan State at Purdue Feb 19 2012 1:00PM
Grade: Loser (-110)
Reason: I'm playing on PURDUE. This line has climbed since it first came out. I believe that's giving us excellent value with the revenge-minded and desperate home team. The Spartans are certainly rolling. However, they're now in the middle of a very tough stretch. Coach Izzo knows they can't take anything for granted. He was quoted as saying: "There are a lot of concerns. We've got four more quick turnarounds..." The Boilermakers come in "short-handed," having suspended a couple of players. Off a "wounded" animal can be a dangerous one - and I expect them the remaining players to respond positively to the situation and elevate their game. The Boilermakers are desperate for a "signature victory" to give them a legit shot at getting invited to the Big Dance. This would certainly qualify. Throw in the fact that the Spartans embarrassed them at East Lansing and this should indeed be an extremely motivated Boilermakers' squad. The Spartans are only 1-4 ATS the last five times that they were favored in the -3.5 to -6 range. Meanwhile, Purdue is 6-2 ATS its last eight as an underdog, going 11-6 ATS its last 17. I expect those stats to improve here as the Boilermakers give their guests all they can handle, and then some. *10