Burns' *VERY EARLY* BIG CHALK PUCK-LINE BIG EASY!: Ben Burns doesn't release many "puck-line" plays. When he does, they usually cash. His latest STARTS VERY SOON. If you don't mind laying some extra wood for a HIGH PERCENTAGE WINNER, you'll want to get down right away!
Game: Pittsburgh Penguins (p) at Buffalo Sabres (p) Feb 19 2012 12:35PM
Prediction: Buffalo Sabres (p)
Grade: Winner (100)
Reason: I'm playing BUFFALO at +1.5 goals, on the puck-line. We have to lay a fairly steep price on the Sabres here. However, given the likelihood of cashing, I feel the price could easily be much higher. The Sabres, who had yesterday off, come in desperate for a victory. They're 5-3 (+2.4) vs. the moneyline when off three or more straight losses. They also come in with "payback" on their minds, as the Pens embarrassed them (8-3) in the last meeting. The Pens played a big divisional game yesterday and are now playing a very early road game. They're 5-6 (-2.9) vs. the moneyline when playing b2b games. Now, they have to do so on the road at a very early start time and are being asked (in this case) to lay an extra 1.5 goals. Three of Buffalo's last five games were decided by a single goal, two of Pittsburgh's last five. Three of six meetings in this series were also decided by a single goal. Lay the wood. *6