Free NBA Basketball Pick

Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers

May, 24 - 8:30 EST

From - Art Aronson

The Hawks are 0-2 SU/ATS in this series, meaning Game 3 has become a do-or-die scenario for Atlanta. While the visitors will be without the services of shooting guard Kyle Korver, the home side is likely to once again be without the services of Kyrie Irving, and if he does play, he obviously won't even be close to 100%. Korver has been a huge disappointment in the postseason, Irving's issues will surely catch up to the Cavaliers and it's another situational factor that I think we can take advantage of here. And note, this is a spot in which Atlanta has excelled in all year, it's 9-3 ATS in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, 11-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, 7-2 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS when trailing in a playoff series.

And note that this is a position in which the Cavs have in fact struggled in this season, just 3-4 ATS as home favorites in the 6.5 to nine points range. I think the No. 1 seed has some fight left in it, this does set up as a natural letdown spot for the home side and while I won't be so bold as to call for the outright upset, I do think the visitors have the potential to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Consider a second look at ATLANTA in Game 3.

Play On: Atlanta Hawks

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