Free Basketball Pick
Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks
February, 5 - 7:05 ET
From - John Ryan
We had TWO huge DOGS win outright as labeled ‘Upset Alert’ Titans in the LA Lakers, who were +450 and defeated the Pelicans and +550 Portland in NCAA, who upset Pepperdine as 10 point underdogs. We play these ‘Upset Alert’s as combination wagers where through financial calculation the ROI is not just validated, but maximized. In these dog plays we made 25* plays with a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. These two plays returned profits of 82* amounts, which is 32* more profits than simply wagering 25* on each play. They don’t always win SU, of course, but over the course of a month and a season they add a significant amount to our net profits. 10* graded play on the Indiana Pacers as they take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Pacers will win this game. Given this favorable projection and as discussed above, I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 7.5* play using the line and a 2.5* play using the money line.
Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-33 ATS mark good for 69% ATS winners since 2010. Play against home favorites (ATLANTA) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is a solid 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when facing struggling rebounding teams outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 3 seasons.
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