The Saints have averaged 32.1 PPG at home the last two years and are favored by seven points at BetUS Sportsbook. However, after starting the season a perfect 13-0 SU, they lost their final three games. No team has ever made the Super Bowl after closing the regular season in such fashion. They were particularly weak at the betting window down the stretch, failing to cover each of their last five games and going 2-8 ATS L10.

Arizona, meanwhile, has covered five straight playoff games and is 6-0 ATS as an underdog this year. In last year’s postseason, they won road games at Carolina (+10) and Philadelphia (+3.5), making in eight straight covers when taking points. They were actually stronger on the road than at home during the regular season, going 6-2 SU and 4-3-1 ATS (allowed just 17.4 PPG). That includes outright wins at Jacksonville, Seattle, the Giants and Chicago (all non-playoff teams). The Cards have yet to play a single road game vs. a playoff team.

Back to the total. The previous record for an Over/Under line was 56 for a Colts vs. Broncos game in 2005. That wound up being a 49-24 final (in favor of Indianapolis), going way Over the total. In fact, of the last seven playoff games with a total of 54 or higher, the Over has cashed six times.

Although New Orleans did not end the regular season well, they should be able to score on a suspect Arizona defense that allowed over 500 yards of total offense last week vs. the Packers. The Saints led the NFL in total offense and scored 45 or more points four different times. However, all of those performances came during the team’s 6-0 SU/ATS start.

Cardinals QB Kurt Warner could also have a big day facing a New Orleans defense that ranked 25th overall (357.8 yards/game) and 20th in scoring (21.3 PPG). However, Warner is turnover prone and the Saints stop unit was very opportunistic, scoring eight touchdowns, three by safety Darren Sharper.

Last week, Warner was sensational in throwing for 379 yards. He had more touchdown passes (five) than incompletions (four). The former two-time league MVP stands at 9-3 all-time in playoff games (straight up).

The team is optimistic that WR Anquan Boldin could return from an ankle and knee injury that kept him out of the Green Bay game. On the Saints injury front, rookie CB Malcom Jenkins is expected to play.

These teams have met just twice since ’04 with the home team winning and covering each time.

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