Green Bay at Arizona
Sunday, January 10th, 4:40 ET
(Matchup)

The final game of Wild Card Weekend takes place in the desert with the Arizona Cardinals hosting the Green Bay Packers. In our opinion, if there was one game to pick to the road team to emerge victorious, it would be this one. Last week, Green Bay won here by a score of 33-7, although Arizona chose to sit most of its starters for much of the game. The public has come in hard on the Packers here betting them all the way down to one-point underdogs in most shops as of Wednesday.
Green Bay enters the playoffs as arguably the hottest team in the NFC. They went 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS over the last eight games, only losing to Pittsburgh on the road via a Ben Roethlisberger TD pass with no time remaining. The only non-cover came against San Francisco, game they dominated, but allowed the 49ers to score late and earn a ‘push.’
Provided the Vikings don’t win the Super Bowl this season with Brett Favre, QB Aaron Rodgers will ultimately prove GM Ted Thompson correct. Rodgers was a legit MVP candidate in just his second season as a starter, throwing for over 4400 yards and 30 TD passes. He became the first player in NFL history to throw for more than 4000 yards in each of his first two seasons as a starter.
Rodgers has actually carved up the Cardinals defense on two separate occasions this year. In the preseason, he led the first team offense to 31 points on six possessions in 44-37 Green Bay win. Last week, it was 26 first half points and led 33-0 after three quarters. However, they will clearly be facing a different Arizona defense this time around.
This will be the Packers’ first playoff road game since 2003 when Favre cost them a game in Philadelphia with a dumb late interception on a pass that never should have been thrown. The team has gone 22-9 ATS away from Lambeau during the tenure of Head Coach Mike McCarthy overall, including 6-0 vs. teams from the NFC West.
Arizona, like they were last year, was very inconsistent during the regular season. They were just 4-4 SU at home and were actually outscored in those games. They are 9-1 ATS here under HC Wisenhunt when coming off a loss and have won 18 of their last 26 home games, covering eight of the previous 12.
The Cardinals were also the #4 seed when they made their improbable run to the Super Bowl last season. WR Larry Fitzgerald averaged seven catches and 136 yards in those four contests.
Fitzgerald will have to deal with perhaps the Defensive Player of the Year in CB Charles Woodson, who led the NFL with nine interceptions. One of those was returned for a 45-yard touchdown last week, a play that saw Woodson injure his shoulder. He is expected to be fine for the rematch.
No Super Bowl loser has gotten back to the game the following year since Buffalo did it three straight times, the last being in 1994. Arizona went just 3-3 in its final six games.
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