Philadelphia at Dallas
Saturday, January 9th, 8:00 ET
(Matchup)

They say that one of the toughest things for any NFL team to do is beat another team three times during the same year. Obviously, “they” do not pay attention to history. Of the last 19 times a team has gone for a 3-0 sweep of an opponent during the same season, it has come out victorious on 12 of those occasions. The Dallas Cowboys look to make it 13 of 20 Saturday night when they host the Philadelphia Eagles in a NFC Wild Card battle.
This is one of three Wild Card matchups that is a rematch from Week 17 of the Regular Season. With the NFC East Division title hanging in the balance, the Cowboys spanked their division rivals 24-0 and thus earned the right to host this first round playoff matchup. It was a particularly crushing loss for the Eagles, who could have laid claim to the NFC’s #2 seed and had a first round bye with a win. Instead, they dropped all the way to the sixth seed and will once again have to being another playoff campaign on the road.
Dallas also beat Philadelphia 20-16 on the road back on November 8th, cashing outright as three-point underdogs. Thus we saw an interesting round robin of results unfold this season in the NFC East where the Cowboys swept the Eagles, the Eagles swept the Giants and the Giants swept the Cowboys. Sunday’s win was particularly refreshing for America’s team as not only did they earn the #3 seed, but it also helped to erase the painful memories of the 2008 season finale, a 44-6 loss to the Eagles that kept them out of last year’s postseason.
The Cowboys have opened up as 3.5-point favorites at BetUS Sportsbook for the rubber match. Last year, the Steelers became the 12th team to sweep a division rival during the same year when they beat the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game.
December started with plenty of turmoil in Dallas as the team was just 8-5 following back to back losses to the Giants and San Diego to start the month. That dropped the Cowboys to a 3-15-1 December ATS run with QB Tony Romo losing 12 of 17 post-Thanksgiving Day starts. However, the team surprisingly rallied by winning its final three games, including back-to-back shutouts over division rivals to end the season as well as a 24-17 win in New Orleans, which was the Saints’ first loss of the season.
Romo has played exceptionally well down the stretch. He finished with the year with a team record 4,483 yards passing and in the final six games he tossed 300+ yards four times while throwing 11 touchdown passes against only two interceptions.
The defense has also been outstanding. The back to back shutouts that ended the season were a franchise first and despite facing three of the league’s highest scoring offenses over the past four weeks, held them all to their lowest scoring output of the season.
Philadelphia’s loss was an abrupt way to end a season that had seen them win their previous six games, helping them stake their claim as the NFC’s hottest team. Now, for a second straight year, they must start the playoffs on the road. Last year, they won at both Minnesota and New York before losing the NFC Championship Game at home to the Arizona Cardinals.
Several trends do favor the Eagles here, including one that has them at 18-4 vs. the number coming off a loss by 21 or more points. They are also 14-4 ATS revenging a loss where they scored 14 or less points.
We’ve got conflicting trends on the total, which currently sits at 45. The Cowboys are 6-0 Under coming off a division game, but 7-0 Over if they gained 450+ total yards in their previous game. Both regular season meetings went Under the total.
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