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Cincinnati at Atlanta
Sunday, May 29th, 8:05 PM

(matchup)

ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball telecast features two of baseball’s best young arms with Cincinnati’s Johnny Cueto taking on Atlanta’s Jair Jurrjens. Oddsmakers have opened the Braves as -140 favorites on the betting line for this rubber match of a three-game series that has seen each team win one time.

When making baseball picks, one must always analyze the starting pitcher and thus far Atlanta’s Jurrjens has been one of the best in the National League. He comes in with a 6-1 record in eight starts to go with a 1.56 ERA. He is a perfect 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in three starts at Turner Field this season and comes off a 2-0 win at Pittsburgh where he went 7 and two-thirds innings, allowing only six hits. Jurrjens has exhibited phenomenal control this season by issuing only nine walks against 33 strikeouts.

Jurrjens, however, has never beaten Cincinnati in four starts with a 6.75 ERA.

The Reds, who have lost 9 of their last 11, turn to Johnny Cueto, who has pitched well since coming off the disabled list. He has a 3.44 ERA in three career starts vs. Atlanta. He’s allowed three runs in three straight starts.

Atlanta has been a great baseball picks when a -125 to -175 home favorite on the betting line, producing a 48-18 record.

MLB totals bettors will be conflicted here as the Reds are 32-19 Over this season, but Atlanta starter Jurrjens is 31-14 Over in night games.

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