Cleveland at Kansas City
Monday, April 18th, 8:10 PM
(matchup)

In the five-team American League Central, it was expected to be a three-horse race for the pennant before the season got underway. Two weeks into the season and it’s the “other” two teams competing for first place. Surprising Cleveland and Kansas City start a four-game set on Monday with the visiting Indians currently a small road favorite with a pitching matchup of Carlos Carrasco (1-1, 5.03 ERA) vs. Kyle Davies (1-1, 9.00 ERA).
After getting crushed in its first two games (allowed 23 total runs) by the White Sox, Cleveland has won 10 of its last 12 and is off a three-game sweep of Baltimore over the weekend. The market has yet to really adjust to the Indians’ winning ways as they have been favored in only two games all season and yesterday’s betting line of -135 was the highest of the season.
Kansas City had a four-game winning streak snapped Sunday with a 3-2 loss to the Seattle Mariners as -120 favorites. The Royals are 7-3 at Kauffman Stadium this season, but over the last three seasons are a horrific 5-30 after allowing three runs or less in back to back ballgames.
The Indians were 10-8 vs. the Royals in 2010 and really cleaned up against their division rivals late in the season, taking eight of the last 11 meetings. Twelve of last season’s matchups went Over the total with one push.
Cleveland starter Carrasco has pitched well in his last two outings, allowing just four runs off nine hits. The team did lose his last start – 4-3 to the Angels – and two of the Tribe’s four losses this season have come with him starting. Carrasco has faced the Royals twice in his career with very different results. In 2009, he was on the wrong end of a 7-0 decision while in his lone start against them last year, the Indians won 11-4. Surprisingly, Carrasco’s individual numbers weren’t much different in the two starts. He went six innings in both outings and allowed eight hits each time. He allowed five runs – one unearned – in the loss and just three in the win.
Cleveland’s bullpen has been outstanding so far this year, compiling a 1.93 ERA in road games.
Kansas City starter Davies has yet to pitch well this season as he’s allowed at least four runs in every start and comes in with a 9.00 ERA. Davies actually lost to Carrasco last year and overall had a 0-3 team start record vs. Cleveland in 2010. He did beat Carrasco in 2009, so interestingly enough, both of Carrasco’s career starts vs. the Royals have come against Davies.