NFL Week 16: Five Stats You Need to Know
by Scott Rickenbach
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Heading into Week 16 of the NFL please note these stats (all are ATS - against the spread, unless otherwise noted) are definitely items to consider as you look at the deep NFL card. However, this does not
mean these are "plays" in the true sense of the word. That said, the hope is that the ATS information below helps you as you "traverse" this week's NFL card! As always, best of luck in all your sports gaming from Scott Rickenbach
1) The Eagles are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games against a divisional foe. Sunday they are at Washington and the Redskins are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games against a divisional foe. With Philadelphia on a red hot late season run and Washington falling apart over the last two months, the Eagles might be worth a look on Sunday! This is a classic “hot vs. not” situation and, of course, the Eagles have plenty of motivation here. It’s a revenge game for them due to a home loss to Washington earlier this season AND Philadelphia is fighting to get into the playoffs! Even with injuries at the wide receiver spot, you might consider a play on the Eagles Sunday.
2) Seattle is 12-5 ATS when hosting an AFC opponent. Also, it’s the Jets they are hosting this week and, with New York coming all the way from the East Coast, it’s worth noting that the Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games hosting a team who plays its home teams in the Eastern Time Zone. The Jets certainly haven’t fared well out west this season either! Also, New York is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games versus NFC opponents. Additionally, the Jets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite versus a team from outside the AFC East. This is about as poor of a situation as you could ask for if you’re a Jets fan. New York is out west, against a NFC team looking to play the role of spoiler and Jets QB Brett Favre has been awful on the West Coast this season! Seahawks might be worth a look here in Holmgren’s final home game!
3) Houston is a solid 5-2 ATS after a game where they faced divisional opposition. This is one of those stranger stats where you don’t ask too many questions you merely recognize that the Texans are not your typical team. Whereas most teams tend to be flat after facing a divisional opponent, Houston tends to draw on the momentum built up from having faced an AFC South foe. Last week the Texans beat the Titans but don’t look for them to fall flat here. Houston has been playing their best football of the season here at the end of the year and they’re now facing a Raiders team that is an unbelievable 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games at home! While the point spread is a little steep here, the Texans could be considered here, especially if the line stays at -7 or less.
4) St Louis is now on a 0-7 ATS run in divisional play. Last week the Rams were home against Seattle and they lost yet again! This week they are now hosting a 49’ers team that has lost the money just six times in their last 18 divisional games. Also, San Francisco is playing some of their best football of the season right now! Conversely, the Rams really can’t wait for the season to end! It’s been a disaster for them and yet and another ATS loss to a divisional foe appears to be on the horizon here.
5) Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS the last six seasons in their final road game of the season. While many may have trouble fading Tennessee here, note that the Titans are proving to be human after all. Tennessee has lost twice in the last four weeks and, after a 10-0 start, the Titans are indeed quite beatable. Their only two wins in the last four weeks came against Cleveland and Detroit and those teams are a combined 4-24 this season! In other words, the Titans are quite likely to be tested again as it’s a tough foe that is visiting Tennessee this week and the Titans do have injury issues along the defensive line. In the two losses the Titans have had in the last four weeks, they scored 13 points or less in each game and they now face a very staunch defense this week. Pittsburgh’s amazing run could continue here as they continue to find a way to win games late. Do the Steelers have another one left in them here?
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