NFL Week Twelve: Five Stats You Need to Know
by Scott Rickenbach
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Heading into Week Twelve of the NFL please note these stats (all are ATS – against the spread, unless otherwise noted) are definitely items to consider as you look at the deep NFL card. However, this does not mean these are “plays” in the true sense of the word. That said the hope is that the ATS information below helps you as you “traverse” this week’s NFL card! As always, best of luck in all your sports gaming from Scott Rickenbach
1) Carolina has a reputation as traveling well and their numbers certainly support that. The Panthers have lost the money just once in their last eight times as a divisional road dog! Their strong run could continue this week as the Falcons are just 2-5 in their last seven games against the Panthers. Also, Atlanta has not fared well at home in divisional match-ups as they’ve won the money just twice in their last eleven home games against teams from the NFC South!
2) Washington is 12-5 the week after facing Dallas. They may have a little extra fire for this next game too because they certainly weren’t happy about losing to the Cowboys in frustrating fashion last week. The fact that they now take to the road may not be such a bad thing for the Redskins either as Washington has covered five of their last six games when favored on the road. The Redskins are visiting a Seattle team that hasn’t fared well as a home dog against teams from outside the NFC West. In this situation the Seahawks have covered just three of their last ten games.
3) The Ravens are 5-1 in their last six games at home and they will be fired up about facing another NFC East foe after the Giants thrashed them by twenty points last week. Note that the Ravens were outgained by less than 100 yards last week so that was a bit of a deceiving final score. Also, the Ravens are catching the Eagles off of their ugly overtime tie at Cincinnati!
4) The Texans are known as a poor road team and they’ve earned that reputation. Houston is just 6-12 in their last 18 games as a road dog. Also, the Texans are facing a Browns team that has fared well in non-divisional games at home. Cleveland is 8-4 when favored at home against teams from outside the AFC North. Also, the Browns are starting to build momentum with Brady Quinn at quarterback. As for the Texans, it’s been a miserable season!
5) There is a lot of logic with this last one because, as you would expect with the recent history of the Patriots, they respond well after a loss and this is especially true after a divisional loss.
After their last 17 divisional losses, the Patriots have responded with a cover 15 times the very next week. Those are pretty good odds and also, in the “good odds” department is the fact that the Patriots are 10-1 on the road after a loss. This one makes sense too because when a team is on the road they tend to get a more manageable line and when a good team like the Pats is off of a loss, they tend to put forth their very best effort in the next week. That could be the case again here as the Patriots are on the road at Miami where the Dolphins have not fared well against the number as in AFC East play!
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