Week 12 Monday Night Football Preview: Packers at Saints
by Nick Parsons
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Once again we were treated to a high scoring affair last Monday Night as the Cleveland Browns held on to beat the Buffalo Bills on the road, 29-27. This week sees us travelling to New Orleans for a matchup with the Packers vs. the Saints (-2.5). With a question marks surrounding both of their star RB's, the Saints are going to have their hands full in this one.
Green Bay and New Orleans enter with identical 5-5 records, but are in vastly different positions within their divisions. Last Sunday, the Packers moved into a three-way tie for the NFC North lead with a 37-3 rout at home over rival Chicago, while the Saints, last in the NFC South, posted their first road win of the season, 30-20 over lowly Kansas City.
Since beating Oakland at home on Oct. 12, New Orleans has played three road games, had its bye week, and was designated as the home team in a win over San Diego that was played in London. Green Bay, meanwhile, is 2-3 away from home this season, and looks to avoid its first three-game road slide since Nov. 27-Dec. 19, 2005.
So can the Saints overcome the question marks surrounding their running game? Will they continue their impressive performance on the offensive side of the ball where they have been averaging 416.9 yards per game and have amassed 29 TDs behind quarterback Drew Brees, who's thrown for 3,251 yards with 18 touchdowns with 11 interceptions?
Will Aaron Rodgers step his game up on the national stage and can the Packers duplicate their performance from a week ago that saw them hold Chicago to 234 total yards and a season low in points, while scoring its franchise-record seventh defensive touchdown?
Here are a few key ATS trends to consider before wagering on this contest:
Green Bay is 0-2 ATS this season against NFC South division opponents but is 5-2 ATS this season in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Packers are also 3-1 ATS their last 4 road games.
New Orleans is just 2-4 ATS its last 6 in games where the line is +3 to -3, but an awesome 4-1 ATS this season when playing the role of favorite. The Saints have also seen the number go over the posted number in 5 of 6 games this year in games where the line is +3 to -3.
With the opening total at 53 points, Vegas is once again predicting a high-scoring affair. All of these questions and more will be answered on Monday November 24th. Good luck!
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