How have teams performed since the 2004/2005 season coming off a game where they lost by at least 20 points? A simple query using the exclusive MTi SDQL trends shows us the team-by-team results.

One school of thought says that teams won’t be able to bounce back from getting blown out and the struggles will continue. The other side says that these teams will be motivated to perform the next game and their starters should be well rested after getting pummeled.

Two teams perform exceptionally bad in this circumstance. The Lakers are 1-13-1 ATS and 3-12 SU. Using team query data, the big problem for the Lakers in these games is defense. In only two of the fifteen games have they held the opponent under 103 points. The Hawks have also performed incredibly poorly, going 11-26-1 ATS and 6-32 SU.

The Suns, Mavericks, and Nuggets have been the three most profitable teams in this situation, going 12-5, 13-6-1, and 14-7 respectively against the spread in this position. A common thread may be that these teams are all in the top 6 in the NBA in scoring during the time period, while two others, the Warriors and Kings, are also three games above .500 each. This is something to watch.

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