The last game of the season can be meaningful for college football teams in need of respect. From a handicapping perspective, this especially holds true when our squad that is about to check out meets these 'value laden' criteria:

a) won 2 or fewer games last season
b) they are on the road, without rest
c) own a win percentage of .200 or less this season
d) opponent's win percentage is .444 or higher this season

By combining all the factors above our ‘see ya later’ sad sacks are a nifty 36-21-1 ATS since 1980. There are two qualifying ‘Sayonara’ teams on this season’s schedule: UNLV this week and UAB next Saturday.

By simply going up against a foe that allows 27.5 or less PPG, and making sure we allow less than 34 PPG, we improve our numbers to 19-7-1 ATS. And by making sure our opponent did not win two games ago by 10 or more points, we ratchet our record up to 19-4-1 ATS. UNLV qualifies this week.

While neither the Rebels nor the Blazers will be bowling this season, this year’s teams certainly improved leaps and bounds over last year’s editions. A season-ending pointspread win would be the Saki-making statement to that effect!

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