Denver (-6) at Kansas City (38.5): The Broncos were teetering on a collapse of epic proportions before dominating the Giants Thanksgiving night 26-6. After starting 6-0 SU, they now stand at 7-4 and this week heads into Kansas City to play the lousy Chiefs. However, Arrowhead has been a house of horrors for Denver, who is just 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS their last ten visits here. They are also just 1-8 ATS their nine games vs. teams with a losing record. It will be just the second time in nine games that the Broncos are favored. Unfortunately Kansas City has lost 10 of its past 11 home games.

Oakland (37) at Pittsburgh (-14.5): The defending Super Bowl Champs have lost three straight and one more setback would match the ’02 Patriots for the longest losing streak ever by a reigning champion. Thankfully for Steelers fans, they play the Raiders this week. Pittsburgh is just 7-18 ATS as double-digit chalk, however, and lost outright to Kansas City two weeks ago. Oakland though is averaging just 9.8 PPG in five road games this season and are 19-40 ATS in the month of December. QB Roethlisberger is expected to play here after missing the Baltimore game.

Houston (-2) at Jacksonville (47): The Texans appear to be “dead team walking” after suffering three straight excruciating division losses. Jacksonville won the first season meeting, 31-24, when Houston fumbled the potential GW TD into the end zone. The Jaguars are definitely an overrated 6-5 team with a point differential of -53. By comparison, that is 69 points worse than the Texans! Jack Del Rio’s team’s last three wins have come by a combined eight points. Houston has covered eight of the last 11 in this head-to-head series.

Tennessee (46) at Indianapolis (-6.5): What a difference five weeks makes. Well maybe not for the Colts, but definitely for the Titans, who come in as perhaps the hottest team in football, which is saying something considering their opponents are 11-0 and have won 20 consecutive regular season games. Indianapolis has already clinched the AFC South title. Their last five wins have come by a combined 18 points and they are just 2-7 ATS L9 as divisional hosts. That said, they have won five of six at home vs. Tennessee, covering the spread in four of those games.

Philadelphia (-5.5) at Atlanta (43.5): This is a critical game in the NFC Wild Card race, much more so for the Falcons, who lost QB Matt Ryan last week and will go with journeyman Chris Redman instead. The Eagles are on a 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS run vs. Atlanta, but most of those games were played in the City of Brotherly Love. Hosts are on a 6-1 SU run in the H2H series. Seven of the last eight games have gone Under. The Falcons are unbeaten at home this year, but Philly is on a 15-6 ATS run away from home. They could be without both RB Westbrook and WR Jackson.

Detroit (42) at Cincinnati (-13): The underdog is an astounding 11-0 ATS in Bengals game this season. They are 6-0 SU/ATS as underdogs but 2-3 SU/0-5 ATS when favored. The Lions are always an underdog and are 0-5-1 ATS their last six games overall. Their defense is allowing over 30 PPG, but they have covered three straight non-conference games. Cincinnati is on a 6-0 ATS run in non-conference games, but has lost outright to Oakland and went 0-2 ATS vs. Cleveland.

New Orleans (-9.5) at Washington (47): A potential trap spot for the Saints, who come off that Monday Night beat down of the Patriots that perhaps cemented their status as the league’s best team. Not only do they come into this game unbeaten, but they are also on a 10-2 ATS run as road chalk. Washington is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games, but is 7-5 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in post-Thanksgiving Day home games. Road teams and the Over are on runs of 5-1 in this series. The Redskins have lost just one game by double-digits this season.

Tampa Bay (40) at Carolina (-5): Our first game of the week where both parties are already out of playoff contention. Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone Under. Tampa is winless in five road games, but has covered three of those games. However, the Panthers are 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS their last eight home games vs. the Buccaneers and 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS overall. The Bucs have gone back to playing Cover-2 defense, but don’t have the personnel they did five years ago. Carolina has been a great December play in recent years, going 20-11 SU and 19-11-1 ATS. Tampa Bay has lost 11 of 13 December games.

St. Louis (41) at Chicago (-9.5): If the Bears were to lose here, expect things to “hit the fan” in the Windy City. They have lost four straight and six of seven overall. The Rams are playing their first road game in four weeks and are scoring just 8.8 PPG away from home this season. Their only win this season came at home vs. Detroit and that was via a late touchdown. They have lost 20 of 21. Huge drop in class for Chicago after facing Cincinnati, Arizona, Philadelphia and Minnesota. Jay Cutler continues to lead the league in interceptions with 20.

San Diego (-13.5) at Cleveland (42.5): On paper, this looks to be the most one-sided affair on the Week 13 card. The Chargers have won six straight games and the only thing that might be able to slow them down here is some winter Cleveland weather. San Diego is 12-2 SU/ATS in its last 14 post-Thanksgiving weekend games. They have won 14 straight December games. Cleveland is atrocious with 16 losses in their last 17 games overall. Their best defensive player Shaun Rodgers has been lost for the year. They have lost nine straight home games (1-7-1 ATS).

San Francisco (-1) at Seattle (41.5): The Niners won the first meeting 23-10 back in September. Seattle is much better at home than on the road. They are just 3-2 SU/ATS in home games, but are outscoring opponents by an average of 10 PPG here. San Francisco is 3-0 SU/ATS in division games so far and are 6-2-2 ATS on the road during Mike Singletary’s tenure. Watch this line as Seattle is 12-4 ATS the last 16 times they’ve been favored, but are 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season. The favorite is 10-1 ATS in Seahawks games this season.

Minnesota (-3.5) at Arizona (48.5): If the Saints are not the best team in football, then it’s the Vikings. Brett Favre has a remarkable 24-3 TD-INT ratio and the offense has scored 32 or more points six times this season. We like the Over in the contest. Arizona is much better with Kurt Warner at quarterback, who they hope to have back this week. This will be the Vikings first road game in five weeks. They have won their five previous away games by 11.6 PPG. The Cardinals are on a 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS run in this H2H series.

Dallas (-1.5) at NY Giants (45.5): This is a critical game for the Giants, losers of six in a row against the spread (1-5 SU). They are 0-6 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and with a home game vs. the Eagles on deck, two straight wins puts them right back into the thick of the NFC East race. Good news is that they did defeat the Cowboys on the road back in Week 2, which was Dallas' home opener. Cowboys QB Tony Romo's December struggles are well known as he is just 5-10 SU following Thanksgiving and 1-9 ATS L10.

New England (-4) at Miami (46): This was originally scheduled to be the Sunday night game, but was "flexed out" in favor of Vikings-Cardinals, which is probably just fine by the Patriots, who would hate nothing more than to be embarrased in primetime two straight weeks. Off the 38-17 humiliation by the Saints, New England has not lost BB games in many, many years. They are 7-1 ATS off their last eight SU losses, including 3-0 ATS this year. Miami is off its first division loss of the season and is just 2-5 ATS in the home dog role under HC Sparano.

Baltimore (42.5) at Green Bay (-3.5): Even without the usual Monday night fanfare, this shapes up as a game of great importance for a pair of Wild Card hopefuls competing in different conferences. The Packers have won three straight since suffering two devastating losses and will be favored here against a Ravens team that got a much needed win over the division rival Steelers Sunday night. While 30-6 SU at home in December since '92, Green Bay is just 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS on MNF under HC McCarthy. After posting three wins in 12 days, they've been off since Thanksgiving. The Packers were allowing five sacks per game before allowing just 1.3 per game the last three weeks.

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