Jacksonville (40.5) at NY Jets (-7) – Two struggling spread teams meet in the Meadowlands. The Jets are off a bye, a role they are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in the last seven years. They are also 12-1 Under in post-bye week games since 1997. Jacksonville, who has failed to cash in four straight games, is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS the last five meetings with the Jets. Prior to the bye week, New York lost a very tough 30-25 decision to the Dolphins, despite allowing just 104 yards of total offense. Since ’92, they are 22-7 ATS at home off a division loss and 13-2 ATS at home off a home loss.

Denver (-4) at Washington (37) – Following a 6-0 start, the Broncos have dropped back to back games against a pair of physical opponents, Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Washington remains a total mess, having failed to score more than 17 points in 14 of their last 16 games, including all eight this season. They are on a 0-4 ATS run, scoring just 42 points in those games. There could be some reason for hope though as the Broncos are just 1-5 ATS when coming off a Monday Night game. The Under is 19-8-1 in the Redskins last 28 games and the team has covered just three of its previous 17 contests. This will be the first time in six games that Denver is favored.

Cincinnati (41.5) at Pittsburgh (-7) – This is a huge game in the AFC North that will give the winner sole possession of first place in the division. A win would also give the Bengals a 5-0 record vs. division opponents. One of those wins came at home vs. Pittsburgh, 23-20, on a 4 yd TD Pass from Carson Palmer with 14 seconds remaining in Week 3. Before that, the Steelers had owned this rivalry, going 26-9 SU and 22-12 ATS. Cincinnati has not swept the season series since 1998. They are a perfect 5-0 STRAIGHT UP as an underdog this year.

Buffalo (41) at Tennessee (-7) – After losing their first six games, the Titans switched back to Vince Young at QB and now sit at 2-6. Buffalo is off its bye and despite two wins in its last three games, this team has major issues scoring and moving the ball. They are averaging just 15.4 PPG and are being outgained by over 100 YPG. They have gone six straight games with 300 or less total yards of offense. Trent Edwards is expected back as the starting QB this week. The Bills defense has surrendered 439. 424 and 419 yards its last three games. The underdog is on a 3-0 ATS run in this series.

Detroit (47) at Minnesota (-16.5) – The Vikings are the biggest favorite on the Week 10 card as they look to hand the Lions their 17th consecutive road loss. Minnesota is 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS the last nine meetings with Detroit and 3-0 SU/ATS in division games this year. They have also won five straight games coming out of the bye, going 4-1 ATS. Detroit has lost all three of its division games, getting outscored by over three touchdowns per game. The Lions did lead the Vikings 10-0 in the first meeting and are 5-5-1 ATS last 11 visits to the Metrodome (0-11 SU). As chalk of seven or more, Minnesota is just 6-15 ATS.

New Orleans (-14) at St. Louis (50) – The Saints have fallen behind in two of their last three games, but still stand at a perfect 8-0 SU. This is despite failing to cover in their last two games. In the Sean Payton era, they are 9-1 ATS as road chalk, but just 1-4 ATS when laying double-digits. This is the most points they will be laying during his tenure. St. Louis is a terrible home team, losing eight straight, going 2-6 ATS. They are 0-3 SU/ATS in ’09, getting outscored by over 27 PPG. New Orleans won its first five games by an average of 19.8 PPG, but its last three have come by just 10 PPG. The Rams are averaging just 9.6 PPG.

Atlanta (-1.5) at Carolina (43.5) – Revenge game for the Panthers, who are 20-8 ATS in revenge spots. This is also one of those lines that appear to be tempting you to side with the road favorite. Carolina is 0-3 ATS in home games this season. Note that Atlanta is 10-1 SU when Michael Turner rushes for more than 100 yards. This will be their first game on grass in five weeks, but they are 13-6-1 ATS their last 20 games on a natural surface. The Panthers rank 24th in the league against the run. How terrible is Carolina QB Jake Delhomme?

Tampa Bay (43) at Miami (-10) – Interesting line with the Dolphins, off a double-digit loss, favored by near double-digits, against a team that is off a double-digit win. That probably speaks to how bad the Bucs are, although they did win for the first time this season last week. This will be just one of two Miami home games over an eight-week span. This will also be Tampa Bay QB Josh Freeman’s first ever road start. The Bucs had two non-offensive TD’s last week. The Dolphins are 4-9 ATS as hosts under HC Tony Sparano.

Kansas City (36.5) at Oakland (-2) – In the first meeting, the Chiefs outgained the Raiders 409-166 and held a time of possession advantage of over 18 minutes, yet still lost 13-10. That improved the visitor to 12-1 SU the last 13 meetings in this series with Kansas City a perfect 6-0 their last six visits to Oakland. The Raiders have lost six straight post-bye week games (0-6 ATS) and have scored just 45 points in their past six games. The Chiefs have parted ways with RB Larry Johnson, but the offense was performing better with Jamaal Charles in the backfield anyway.

Seattle (46.5) at Arizona (-9) – The Seahawks must win this game to stay in this division race, and may have a shot considering the Cardinals are 0-9 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. When these teams met in Week 6, Seattle was held to a franchise low 14 yards rushing and the three points were the fewest scored at home since 2002. Arizona QB Kurt Warner tore up the Seahawks secondary in that game, but has been very hot and cold of late, throwing five INT’s in a loss to Carolina and five TD passes in last week’s win over Chicago.

Philadelphia (47) at San Diego (-1) – This is a very tough game to call. It is the first of four road games for the Eagles in a five-week stretch. They are 8-1 ATS as a road dog the past three seasons and 33-15 ATS overall under HC Reid, but this is his first ever trip to San Diego. The Chargers have won three straight and beat another NFC East team (the Giants) last week. Philadelphia is off a tough loss to division rival Dallas Sunday night. Under Norv Turner, the Lightning Bolts are just 3-6 ATS vs. the NFC.

Dallas (-3) at Green Bay (47.5) – What a difference a couple of weeks make. The Cowboys have won four straight to run their record to 6-2 and take over first place in the NFC East. The Packers, meanwhile, sit at 4-4 after a pair of crushing losses to Minnesota and previously winless Tampa Bay by nearly identical scores. The Green Bay offensive line simply cannot protect Aaron Rodgers, who has been sacked more times than any other quarterback in the league. The home team had won nine straight in this series before a 27-16 Dallas win in Lambeau last year, where the Cowboys ran for 217 yards. Wade Phillips is just 1-6 ATS as a dog as Dallas HC.

New England (49.5) at Indianapolis (-3) – This is the biggest game of the weekend and the biggest non-Green Bay vs. Minnesota game of the year! We will be releasing our 25* Sunday Night Game of the Year on this matchup!

Baltimore (-10.5) at Cleveland (40) – Things have gotten so bad in Cleveland that this game could be blacked out locally. The favorite has covered in seven of eight Cleveland post-week bye games. The Browns have lost six straight division games, but are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS at home vs. the Ravens last five. This will be the fourth time Cleveland has been a double-digit dog this season and they are 1-2 ATS previous with the lone cover coming by half a point. The Browns average just 9.7 PPG and lost to Baltimore 34-3 in the first meeting.

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