Interesting to note that of the 14 games on the Week 6 schedule, six of them have lines of 3.5 or less and six more are -9 or higher…….

Kansas City (37.5) at Washington (-6) – This week the Redskins will become the first team in NFL history to play their first six games against winless teams. With all the talk surrounding HC Jim Zorn’s job, you’d probably figure that Washington was winless, but it’s the Chiefs that come in at 0-5. This seems like a lot of points to lay with the Skins, who are 0-3 ATS as a favorite and 0-9 ATS L9 vs. the AFC. Interestingly, both teams covered their first game of the year last week. Kansas City is playing its fourth straight game vs. a team from the NFC East and has lost five straight non-conference games by an average of 18.6 PPG. Washington is 9-0 Under in the favorite role.

Houston (46) at Cincinnati (-4.5) – The Bengals are what the Texans were supposed to be coming into the year, namely the surprise team in the AFC. Cincy has won three games outright in the Underdog role (Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Baltimore) this year, but is 0-2 ATS as a favorite. In fact, they are 3-10 ATS L13 as chalk. Interestingly, this line has already moved two points in favor of Houston. These teams met last year in Houston and the Texans won easily 35-6.

Cleveland (38) at Pittsburgh (-14) – This is the most lopsided rivalry in the entire league with the Steelers beating the Browns 11 straight times and 16 of the last 17. Double-digit dogs have not done well this year, going 2-8 ATS if you throw out that first week of Monday Night games. Pittsburgh has won seven straight at home vs. division foes, by an average of 15.4 PPG. Cleveland is 1-4 SU/ATS its last five division games on the road, losing by an average of 15.4 PPG. Over the last three seasons, Cleveland is 0-6 ATS on the road after scoring 9 pts or less. Six of the last seven meetings here at Heinz Field have gone Over.

Baltimore (44.5) at Minnesota (-3) – The Vikings might be the weakest of the five 5-0 teams in the league right now. This is the start of a tough three-game stretch, as they have road games vs. Pittsburgh and Green Bay on deck. Baltimore is 17-7 ATS under HC Harbaugh, but has lost two straight games SU and ATS and is reeling. They have their bye week up next and this will be their first ever visit to the Metrodome. In pre-bye week games, they have covered four straight and gone 6-1 Under.

St. Louis (43) at Jacksonville (-9.5) – How terrible must the Rams be to be 10-point underdogs to a Jags team that lost 41-0? The answer is that St. Louis is definitely the worst team in the league, scoring just 34 points in five games, and has a point differential of -112. That being said, Jacksonville has failed to cover its last six games as a home favorite. They are also 9-0 ATS all-time after scoring six points or less, so something has to give. St. Louis has lost 15 straight games and 32 of its last 37. This is their first ever visit to Jacksonville, who has won its last four pre-bye week games by an average of 15.8 PPG (4-0 ATS).

NY Giants (47) at New Orleans (-3) – This is a battle of the two best teams in the NFC, if not the entire league. The Giants have just been incredible on the road the past 2+ seasons, going 18-3 ATS. They have covered five straight dome games. They are 13-3 ATS as an underdog. Both teams are unbeaten ATS on the year. New Orleans is 5-1 SU/ATS L6 at home, winning by an average of 14.5 PPG. The Saints have scored 23 or more points in their last 14 games at the Superdome. In other words, something has to give.

Carolina (-3) at Tampa Bay (39) – Here we have a game on the other end of the spectrum. These are actually the last two NFC South Division Champs. Carolina is the only team in the league yet to cover a game. Neither team has scored more than 21 points in any game this year. This is Tampa’s first division game of the season. The Panthers are 0-3-1 ATS L4 division road games, but 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS last six visits to Raymond James Stadium.

Detroit (47.5) at Green Bay (-13.5) – The Packers had a bye week to get over their loss to the Vikings, and with Detroit, Cleveland and Tampa Bay comprising three of their next four opponents (rematch with Minnesota is the other), they have a chance to make a run. Unfortunately for this game, they are just 5-17 ATS in the role of double-digit favorite. The Lions have lost 14 straight road games (allowed 34 PPG) and 18 straight at Lambeau Field (2-14-2 ATS).

Philadelphia (-14) at Oakland (40.5) – This is already the second time the Raiders will be DD home dogs this season. They have scored 16 points total in their last three games, losing by an average of 26.67 PPG. They are 1-8 ATS L9 non-conference games and 0-5 SU/ATS as hosts (scoring just 33 total points). Philadelphia is going the other way and this will be their first road game since Week 1. They have gone Over in all four games this season. In their four losses this season, Oakland has turned the ball over three times on each occasion.

Arizona (47) at Seattle (-3) – Both NFC West teams got much needed wins last week. Seattle is getting healthier, but is just 1-14 ATS at home off a win by 21 points or more. They have won eight straight pre-bye week games (6-2 ATS). The Cardinals were fortunate to hold off the Texans last week. They are 6-2 ATS their last eight road games. Favorites are 6-2 SU/ATS L8 in this rivalry. This might appear to be a high-scoring affair as Arizona is 12-1 Over off an Under. Eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings have gone Over.

Buffalo (37) at NY Jets (-9.5) – Few teams have ever looked as bad as the Bills did last week in a horrendous 6-3 home loss to Cleveland. This will be their final division road game of the year, having already lost at New England and Miami. They have scored 10 points or less in three straight games, all ATS losses. The Jets nice 3-0 start is rapidly becoming a thing of the past with BB road losses to New Orleans and Miami. The underdog has gone 11-2 ATS the last 13 meetings between these teams at the Meadowlands.

Tennessee (43) at New England (-9) – After playing its first five games against unbeaten teams, the Pats get a break when they get to host the league’s most surprising winless team, the Tennessee Titans. New England is 18-0 SU off its last 18 straight up losses and 28-14 SU off a loss overall during the Bill Belichick era. They are 3-0 SU at home, but 0-2 SU on the road. The Titans are 6-1 SU/ATS its last seven pre-bye week games.

Chicago (45.5) at Atlanta (-3) – This should be an exciting battle of 3-1 NFC teams on Sunday Night. The Bears are looking for their first four game win streak since the Super Bowl season of 2006, but are just 1-9 ATS off back to back covers as a favorite. They have covered five of the last six meetings with Atlanta and are coming off a bye. They are 1-6 ATS when playing with rest. The Falcons are off an impressive 45-10 win at San Francisco and are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in home games under HC Mike Smith.

Denver (44) at San Diego (-3.5) – The Broncos are 5-0, yet have failed to impress the oddsmakers as they find themselves as underdogs for this huge division battle for San Diego. The Chargers have covered the last six meetings with Denver overall and their last four wins have all come by 20 points or more. Denver has gone Under in every game this season. They have also covered every game, but are 0-6 ATS following a win by three points or less. The Chargers are off a bye. A Broncos win would give them an early 3.5 game lead in the division.

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