Minnesota (-10) at St. Louis (41) – This is one of four double-digit favorites on the Week Five card, and one of two on the road. It’s probably deserved as the Rams have scored a ghastly 24 points in four games, 17 of them coming in a 19-point loss at Green Bay. They have been shut out twice and are on a 3-8 ATS run as a home dog and 0-6 ATS at home coming off a road loss. The Vikings should view this as a “trap game” considering they are off the emotional Monday Night win over Green Bay and have Baltimore, Pittsburgh and a rematch with the Packers on deck.

Dallas (-8) at Kansas City (42) – There were four home dogs on the Week Four card. Three of them covered. The other was Kansas City, who now stands at 0-4 SU/ATS on the year. The Cowboys were one of those road favorites last week that did not cover, losing outright 17-10 at Denver. That, nor a 10-3 SU/7-6 ATS mark as road chalk under HC Phillips, have stopped the oddsmakers from making you lay big points with Dallas away from home again this week. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in pre-bye week games and this will be just their 2nd visit to Arrowhead in 18 seasons.

Washington (37.5) at Carolina (-4) – The Panthers are 0-3 SU and coming off their bye week. Enter the Washington Redskins, who may be 2-2, but could be the least impressive .500 club in the league. They have yet to cover a single spread and are averaging just 14 PPG. Going back to last year, Washington has covered just one of its previous 12 games. Under Jim Zorn, they have never won a game by more than eight points. Something has to give here as the favorite is 6-1 SU/ATS in post Carolina bye week games, but the underdog is on an 8-0 ATS run in this H2H series. Neither of these teams have covered a single spread in ’09.

Tampa Bay (42) at Philadelphia (-15) – We don’t want to say that it’s time to panic in Tampa, but the Bucs are already 15-point underdogs in Week Five. They have now lost eight straight games dating back to last season and are just 4-10 ATS their last 14 overall. The only good news is that they have won and covered three straight meetings with Philadelphia, all as underdogs. The Eagles are off their bye, a situation they have won 11 straight times in for HC Reid (9-2 ATS). They are just 5-6 ATS as double-digit favorites, however.

Oakland (37.5) at NY Giants (-15) – The Giants finally return back home after a 3-0 SU/ATS road trip and are huge favorites against a Raiders team quickly reverting back to its pathetic ways. Beware of the look-a-head for New York, as they are in New Orleans next week for a likely battle of NFC unbeatens (Saints have off this week). Oakland has covered four straight as DD dogs. The Giants are perfect against the spread this season and are 16-5 ATS their last 21 games overall, not to mention 14-5 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.

Cleveland (40.5) at Buffalo (-6) – The Browns finally showed some life, with Derek Anderson under center last week, but still came up short losing at home in OT to the Bengals. If they fall here, it could get ugly because there doesn’t appear to be many games in the “winnable” category for Cleveland until December. Buffalo is on a slide of its own, getting outscored 65-17 its last two games. Cleveland has beaten the Bills each of the last two seasons. Whichever coach loses this game will see his job come under even more scrutiny.

Cincinnati (42) at Baltimore (-8.5) – Winner of this game gains sole possession of first place in the AFC North at 4-1. The Bengals have won three straight games while the Ravens are off their first loss of the season. Cincinnati is actually one freak play away from being 4-0 SU. The favorite is on a 14-5 SU/ATS run in this H2H series and the Ravens are 9-1 ATS as a favorite and 6-2 ATS in division games under HC Harbaugh. Baltimore swept last year’s games while Cincinnati did the same in 2007.

Pittsburgh (-10.5) at Detroit (44) – The Steelers are the fourth and final road favorite we spoke of earlier. The Lions are looking for their first two-game win streak at home since November of ’07. The Steelers are a lousy 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS in the road chalk role under HC Tomlin. Detroit reverted back to its losing ways last week, falling 48-24 in Chicago (now 1-20 SU L21 games) and is 0-7 ATS at home off a SU loss.

Atlanta (41) at San Francisco (-2.5) – The winner of this game will be in very good shape with just one loss through five weeks. The Falcons are off a bye week, meanwhile the 49ers were busy (finally) signing 1st Round DC Michael Crabtree (won’t play here). These teams used to be division rivals and Atlanta is probably very thankful for realignment as they are just 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS their last 11 visits here. That one SU victory did come in their last visit, back in 2004. The 49ers have not lost a home game under HC Mike Singletary.

New England (-3) at Denver (41) – Who would have guessed this would be the marquee AFC Game on the Week 5 slate? New England appears to have gotten back on track, following BB home wins over Atlanta and Baltimore. The Broncos are the league’s biggest surprise at 4-0 SU/ATS. They have allowed the fewest points in the league (26). To put that number in perspective, the Denver defense allowed 117 points through four games last year. Thus, they have gone Under in all four games. The last seven meetings between these teams in Denver have averaged 48 PPG, with six going Over. New England is 25-5 SU & 21-7 ATS as road chalk of a TD or less under HC Belichick.

Houston (50.5) at Arizona (-5.5) – This is just the second all-time meeting and the first ever in Arizona. Both teams are off to disappointing starts. The Cardinals are off a bye, a role they are 11-3 Under in. However, plenty of trends favor the Over here. Houston has cashed seven of eight as underdogs, but is just 5-9 ATS on the non-conference road.

Jacksonville (N/A) at Seattle (Pick) – Two teams headed in opposite directions here with the Jags coming in as winners of two straight while the Seahawks have lost three in a row. After this game, Jacksonville will face three teams that are winless in ’09, so the consecutive division wins may be the start of something big. Seattle is on an 11-6 ATS run at home and expected to get several key contributors, most importantly QB Hasselbeck, back from injury. The Seahawks are just 1-10 ATS vs. teams averaging more than 24 PPG.

Indianapolis (-3.5) at Tennessee (45.5) – This is the Sunday Night game. The Titans are in dire straits with the unbeaten Colts here, followed by the Patriots next week. Since a 10-0 SU start last year, Tennessee has lost eight of its last 11. Meanwhile, Indianapolis has won 13 straight regular season contests. Their bye week is next week, so they could get caught “looking ahead.” The Colts are just 3-9 ATS their last 12 games on the division road. Tennessee has lost four straight division games, but is 5-1 ATS L6 vs. the Colts.

NY Jets (-2) at Miami (36) – This is the Monday Night Game. The Jets lost for the first time last week, while the Dolphins won for the first time. New York has covered six straight here and has not lost on South Beach since 2005. That being said, the Fish are 5-1 SU L6 division games. The Jets defense is allowing just 277 YPG so far. Since 1992, the Jets are 23-8 ATS vs. Miami since 1992.

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