Home About Us Contact Us Sitemap
Las Vegas Experts NFL Football Picks
Subscriptions
Daily Free Pick
Guaranteed Picks
Member Picks
Live Lines
Sports Trends
Customer Home
Past Results
Become a Member
VE Blog
Super Systems
2 for 1 Promotions
NFL betting
Click Here

Handicapping Articles
All Guaranteed Picks
 
2009 NFL: Week 3 Preview
by Lenny Del Genio

Here are some key NFL betting angles for this week’s games. They are designed to aid you in your own handicapping ventures and we factor them into our own handicapping acumen, although they are not the sole basis for the plays. Be sure not to miss our 25* AFC Game of the Year on Sunday!

Tennessee (37) at NY Jets (-3) – The Titans are a desperate 0-2 underdog. The Jets are flying high at 2-0, fresh off their upset of the division rival Patriots. This is actually a big revenge game for Tennessee, whose ten-game win streak to start last season was ended by New York, 31-13. That was the highest altitude the Jets were at last year. New York has covered each of the last five meetings. Jeff Fisher’s team is 9-3 SU/ATS L12 road games, however, and 8-1 ATS in the month of September. The Jets are 1-7 ATS in the month of September vs. an opponent off a SU loss as a favorite.

Jacksonville (47) at Houston (-3.5) – This is one division rival that the Texans have done well against, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS L7 home meetings and 11-3 ATS all-time. Including last week, Houston has gone Over in 11 of its last 13 AFC South games. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is struggling with a 2-6 ATS run in division play. The good news is that they are 4-1 SU when coming off a double-digit loss as a favorite. On a natural surface, the Jags have failed to cover 12 of their last 14 games. Houston has covered five straight when coming off a division road game. Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS vs. an opponent off a SU dog win.

Kansas City (40.5) at Philadelphia (-8.5) – The oddsmakers were a bit late posting a number on this matchup as the Eagles come in looking like the walking wounded. QB McNabb is listed as doubtful with Kevin Kolb expected to make his second consecutive start. Both RB Westbrook and WR Jackson have been upgraded to probable. Mike Vick is of course eligible to return and should see action. Kansas City is just 1-13 SU its L14 games overall and was outscored by an average of 29 PPG in non-conference road games last year.

Cleveland (38.5) at Baltimore (-13.5) – This is the biggest spread on the Week 3 board and justifiably so. Cleveland has scored just ONE offensive TD since Week 11 of last year’s regular season. It’s interesting to note that in each of the last three years this rivalry has produced a season sweep. The favorite has won each of the last six meetings here in Baltimore, covering five of those games. The Ravens are also on a 5-0 SU/ATS run when favored by a touchdown or more, including Week One of this season.

NY Giants (-6) at Tampa Bay (44.5) – This is a matchup of one of the NFC’s best against one of its worst. The Bucs defense has been atrocious so far, allowing an average of 33.5 PPG and a total of 900 yards. The Giants could be looking at a 5-0 SU start with the Raiders and Chiefs on deck. They have now covered 16 of their last 19 road games and 12 of 15 conference games. The last seven meetings in this series have all gone Under. Under HC Coughlin, the Giants are 7-1 SU/ATS as road chalk of seven points or less.

Washington (-6.5) at Detroit (38.5) – It’s eighteen straight regular season losses and counting for the Lions. You won’t find a more one-sided series, historically speaking, with the Redskins winning 22 of 24 meetings dating all the way back to 1968. This is just the fourth time in four seasons that Washington will be in the role of road favorite. Taking Minnesota out of the equation, Detroit’s last eight opponents have averaged 37.9 PPG. However, Washington’s 9-7 win over St. Louis last week shows that they are probably not capable of such a performance.

Green Bay (-6) at St. Louis (41) – Our third straight road favorite. The Packers are not protecting Aaron Rodgers enough, giving up 10 sacks in the first two games. Two years ago, Green Bay won here with a similar line, 33-14. This is the Pack’s first road game, but that may not matter considering the team is 16-5 ATS away from Lambeau. All but six of those games have come in the underdog role though. The Rams look really bad. This is the 11th straight game where they will be an underdog. They have scored seven points in two games.

San Francisco (39) at Minnesota (-6.5) – This is the only meeting of 2-0 teams on the Week 3 card. The key will be the Niners’ phenomenal run defense (just 2.6 YPR, 53 YPG) vs. the incredible Vikings rushing attack (168 YPG), led by Adrian Peterson. This is the home opener for Minnesota and San Francisco has failed to cover in its last four visits here. All is not bad for the visitors, however, as the Vikings are 1-7 ATS as favorites in the month of September vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win.

Atlanta (47) at New England (-4.5) – Could this be the year where Atlanta finally puts together back-to-back winning seasons? It has never happened in the franchise’s previous 43 years. Bad news for Falcons fans is a 0-6 ATS mark when coming off BB SU wins. This is the only 2-0 team on the card that is not favored against a non-unbeaten. It is also Atlanta’s road opener, which will be followed by the bye week. The Falcons are on an 11-5-1 ATS run in non-conference games.

Chicago (-2) at Seattle (37) – Note that Seattle opened as the favorite and Chicago is 1-5 SU/ATS its last six road games. The Bears have not won here in 25 years. Over the last three seasons, the Bears are 3-11 ATS coming off a SU win. Tough game to call.

New Orleans (-6) at Buffalo – What a start for the Saints, as they have scored 93 points the first two weeks, something the league has not seen in over 40 years. Buffalo should be 2-0 as well, but gagged badly on MNF in Week 1 vs. the Patriots. The Bills are 8-4 ATS as home dogs under HC Jauron and 15-3 ATS at home vs. the NFC. However, New Orleans is 7-1 SU/ATS as road favorites under HC Peyton and went 4-0 vs. the AFC last year.

Miami (44) at San Diego (-6) – The Dolphins are staring 0-3 right in the face, following a heartbreaking loss to the Colts on Monday Nights. The team is 0-8 ATS off a loss by six points or less, but 6-0 ATS on the road vs. conference opponents. In the last eight meetings, the Fish have won and covered seven times and every game has gone Under. San Diego gained 474 yards of total offense last week vs. the vaunted Baltimore defense.

Pittsburgh (-4.5) at Cincinnati (37) – The Bengals have really struggled at home vs. the Steelers, going just 3-13 SU/ATS! They also have back to back division road games on deck. Pittsburgh has won each of the last five meetings overall, four of those coming by double digits. The Steelers have failed to cover their last 3 games away from home.

Denver (-2) at Oakland (36.5) – The Raiders opened as the favorite, for just the fifth time in 33 games. However, the public quickly got down on the Broncos, who could, inexplicably, begin the year at 3-0. However, they are just 3-15 ATS the last three seasons in division games. Oakland managed to beat Kansas City last week despite just 168 yards of total offense and now is on a 4-0 ATS run dating back to last year, the franchise’s longest ATS win streak since the Super Bowl season of ’02.

Indianapolis (48.5) at Arizona (-3) – Ken Wisenhunt is now 8-2 ATS vs. the AFC as the HC of Arizona. Last week, Kurt Warner set a record by completing 24 of 26 passes. The team is 5-0-1 Over the last six years the week before a bye.

Carolina (47.5) at Dallas (-8.5) – It would be tough to see the Cowboys losing a 2nd straight game at owner Jerry Jones new billion dollar palace. Carolina looks awful, but the underdog has covered each of their last 12 pre-bye week games.

Get all of Lenny Del Genio's winning sports picks at Vegas Experts!

 
© Copyright 2002 Vegas Experts All Logos © Copyright of their respective agencies (NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB)
Contact Us: 1-888-881-8342 or service@vegasexperts.com Privacy Policy | Link Partners | Articles | Site Map