Oakland (38) at Kansas City (-3): Both the line and total have been dropping despite the Raiders coming in off a short week. Note that the underdog in this series is on an 8-1 ATS run this decade at Arrowhead Stadium. Overall, the visitor has covered six straight times and won the past five meetings outright. The loser here figures to be the early favorite for worst team in the AFC. The Chiefs have covered five straight division games while the Raiders are 3-1 SU/ATS their last four division road games.

Houston (40.5) at Tennessee (-6.5): Loser here also falls to 0-2 SU. The Titans have won and covered five of the past six meetings. The Texans are on a 1-6 ATS run in Week 2 and have gone 1-4 SU/ATS last five road openers. However, they have covered six of their last seven division games. Tennessee was 7-1 SU/6-1-1 ATS at home last year and 4-2 SU/ATS in the division. They have also covered eight straight September games. Houston has gone Over in nine straight games against an opponent off a road game.

New England (-3) at NY Jets (45.5): Line has dropped significantly and we don’t know why. The Patriots have covered six straight division road games (12-1 SU/ATS L13). The Jets have gone just 2-13 ATS since ’92 at home during the first two weeks of the season. Even more impressive about New England is the fact that they’ve covered 10 straight games at the Meadowlands (9-1 SU). During the Eric Mangini era, New York was an awful 1-7-1 ATS at home vs. division opponents. Jets players are calling this game their “Super Bowl.”

Cincinnati (42) at Green Bay (-9.5): The Bengals come off an awful loss to Denver while the Packers come off a last-minute win over Chicago. First time Cincinnati has played in Green Bay since ’95. Pack won and covered 3 of 4 AFC games LY. Cincy is 2-6 SU/3-5 ATS L8 road openers. The bad news for the Cheese Heads is a 1-5-1 ATS mark the week after playing the Bears. For what it’s worth, the Bengals went 4-0 ATS vs. the NFC last year, doing so against the tough NFC East no less.

Minnesota (-9.5) at Detroit (46.5): 18 straight regular season losses and counting for the Lions. Detroit actually played its two best games of last year’s winless campaign against the Vikings, losing both by a combined six points, and have covered four straight NFC North games. Minnesota is just 3-8-1 ATS in division play the last two seasons, but has gone 7-1 SU/5-2-1 ATS vs. Detroit since 2005. The Lions are on a 2-10 ATS slide at home, but are 4-3 SU/5-1-1 ATS in the last seven home openers.

New Orleans (Pick) at Philadelphia (46): Clearly the key here is monitoring the Eagles QB situation, which is still unknown as of press. McNabb (cracked ribs) is out, so it will either backup Kevin Kolb or the recently signed Jeff Garcia (led team to 6-2 record as starter in ’06). Whoever wins here establishes themselves as a prime contender in the rapidly improving NFC. Eagles went 6-2 SU/ATS at home last season while the Saints are just 2-7 L9 “true” road games, allowing an average of 26.2 PPG.

St. Louis (36.5) at Washington (-9.5): A winless Rams team went into the Nation’s Capital last year and upset a 4-1 Redskins team that was favored by 13 points, so stranger things have happened. However, St. Louis was the only team to get shutout in Week 1 and is on an astounding 0-9 SU/ATS run during the month of September. Meanwhile, the news isn’t going for Washington either as they are just 9-21 ATS in September home games and just 6-11 ATS L17 when favored.

Arizona (42.5) at Jacksonville (-3): Previous Super Bowl losers have failed to make the playoffs seven of the past eight seasons, so an 0-2 start would be an ominous sign for a Cardinals team that went 0-5 SU/ATS in the Eastern Time Zone last regular season, losing by an average of 20 PPG. Still, the Cards are 7-2 ATS under HC Wisenhunt in non-conference games. These teams have met just twice all-time, with the Jags winning and covering both. Arizona is 7-1 ATS the week after playing San Francisco.

Seattle (39) at San Francisco (-1.5): This sets up as a pretty important game in the NFC West as the winner be the lone unbeaten and it’s probably only going to take nine wins to seal the division. The Niners were outgained in last week’s win over Arizona. Seattle is 5-2 SU/ATS run at San Francisco and 8-3 SU/7-4 ATS L11 overall. 49ers have failed to cover six of seven as division hosts while Seahawks are 1-9 ATS after coming off a double-digit win.

Tampa Bay (42) at Buffalo (-5.5): The key is how will the Bills respond emotionally after gagging away a sure fire MNF winner in New England. Believe it or not, but this is the first time EVER Tampa Bay will be playing in Buffalo. For sure, they are thankful the game is being played in September and not December. Buffalo has never covered in five all-time meetings, but this could be the shot as they are 14-3 ATS the week after playing the Patriots. Tampa Bay allowed 462 yards to Dallas last week.

Cleveland (37.5) at Denver (-3): As bad as Denver was thought to be coming into the regular season, they have a great shot at a good start with the Browns, then the Raiders on deck. The Broncos were the worst pointspread team in the league last year, going 0-8 ATS at home and they were favored in all of those games. In fact, they are just 5-19 ATS at home since ’06 and 3-15 ATS when favored in any setting. Cleveland has lost seven straight games to Denver and this is must win for QB Brady Quinn.

Baltimore (40.5) at San Diego (-3): The scoreboard read just 38-24 in favor of Baltimore last week in Kansas City, but they outgained the Chiefs by a whopping 501-188 margin. San Diego, however, has covered seven straight home games when coming off a SU win. The host has won and covered five of the past six meetings. The Ravens are just 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS L8 road openers. The key is which Chargers team shows up. RB LaDanian Tomlinson is a game time decision.

Pittsburgh (-3) at Chicago (37.5): It was a disastrous debut for Bears QB Jay Cutler, who tossed a career-high four INT’s vs. Green Bay last week. Now he must face a Steelers defense, albeit one without S Troy Polamalu, that ranked #1 in every major defensive category last season. The 320 yards Pittsburgh allowed to Tennessee last week was more than all but two teams gained on them last year. Pittsburgh is just 10-15 ATS L25 road games. Lovie Smith is a terrible head coach.

Indianapolis (-3) at Miami (42): This is the Monday nighter. After leading the league in TO differential last regular season, the Dolphins have now coughed it up nine times in the last two games. The news keeps getting worse as the Colts have covered seven straight games as a road favorite vs. a non-division opponent. Miami is an awful 3-13 ATS in home games overall, 0-9 ATS at home off an Under and 0-3 ATS in home openers. We told you that the Dolphins were due for a drop off in ’09.

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