Just nine days into the start of the second round of NBA Playoff betting you can already bid adieu to the Atlanta Hawks, who were unceremoniously swept by the heavily favored Cleveland Cavaliers. LeBron James and the Cavs are now a perfect 8-0 straight up in the playoffs with every win coming by a double-digit margin. That has never happened before in the history of the NBA Playoffs.

Looking at Cleveland’s dominance from a pointspread perspective, bettors are well aware that Cleveland has yet to fail to cover a single spread this postseason. After easily covering its first seven games, the series clinching Game 4 was considered a “push” in most betting circles. The Eastern Conference’s top seed is now likely to have a second sabbatical of a week or more this playoff season as they wait for the Boston/Orlando series to conclude.

That Boston/Orlando series has been a tough one to figure out, except for Zig Zag players (play on ATS loser of previous game), who are a perfect 3-0 ATS. The pointspread has yet to be a factor in any of the first four games with the SU winner also prevailing ATS. That means in 2nd round Eastern Conference action, the SU winner is no worse than 7-0-1 ATS through the first four games of each Conference Semifinal. As good as both the Celtics and Magic are at home, the road team has now posted four outright wins in the eight head-to-head meetings this year, going 5-3 ATS overall.

Cleveland is not the only team that has dominated at the betting window as the Denver Nuggets, despite two SU losses, could be considered 9-0 ATS, 8-1 ATS or 8-0-1 ATS this playoff season depending on your Game 4 result vs. the Dallas Mavericks. The Nuggets will be a big eight-point favorite for Wednesday night’s Game 5, the most points they have laying in any game in this series. Their Game Four loss to Dallas snapped a seven-game win streak over the Mavs.

Perhaps the most shocking story of Round 2 came in Game Four of the Lakers vs. Rockets series. The public took a bath in this game after taking the Lakers all the way up to an 8.5-point road favorite after learning of the Yao Ming injury. Houston would go on to win the game outright by 12, but it wasn’t even that close. The Rockets, like the Hawks, have yet to be favored in any game and probably will not be even in Game Six at home. Houston, unlike Atlanta, is doing something with the points, however, posting a 2-2 ATS record in this series.

When we started these playoff reports four weeks ago, we began by taking about the fallacy that is home team dominance, both from a SU and ATS perspective. In 1st Round play, hosts went just 22-23 ATS (31-14 SU) proving our theory true. None of the eight series went without at least one win by the visitors. After 16 games of second round action, our theory looks even stronger. All four series have seen a road team win SU at least once, and overall hosts are just 9-7 SU. Only the Denver/Dallas series has seen the home team win more than they’ve lost (3-1 SU) and in reality it would be a perfect 4-0 SU had the Mavs carried out the intentional foul properly in Game Three.

For arguments sake, we will consider both Game 4’s on Wednesday (Cle/Atl, Den/Dal) as pushes. That means hosts are just 8-6-2 ATS in this round. Incredibly, the SU winner of all 16 games has yet to fail to cover a single game, doing no worse than two pushes. We’ll see if that trend continues moving forward as it looks as if the oddsmakers are inflating lines, particularly in the two Game 5’s in the Western Conference.

Now we’ll look at over/under betting. In Round One, Over bettors started red-hot, going 8-1-1 over the first 10 games. However, only 12 of the final 35 first round games would go Over. The second round started out on a “totally” different note with each of the four Game 1’s all going Under. Then all four Game 2’s went Over (more on that in a second!). That dichotomy has set the tone for this round of over/under betting as through 16 games, the O/U record sits at 8-8 even split.

The Lakers/Rockets and Magic/Celtics series have mirrored one another with a Game 1 Under being followed up by back-to-back Overs, then a Game 4 Under. Denver/Dallas started the same way through the first three games, but saw Game 4 go Over. Cleveland/Atlanta is the lone series to find Under bettors profiting with both Game 3 and 4 staying below the posted total.

We cashed our Playoff Total of the Year last Wednesday on Over Houston/LA Lakers Game Two. In our breakdown of that particular matchup , we found a stunning system that can be used for Round 2, Game 2 betting. Over the last five years, the Over is now 17-3 in Round 2, Game 2 situations!

We’ll be back next week for the start of the Conference Finals.

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