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NBA Playoff Journal (May 19)
by Larry Ness

The NBA held its draft lottery prior to last night's Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals. It was not a good night for new Nets owner Mikhail Prokhorov, the 6-foot-8 Russian billionaire who looked as he could have been one of the NBA's lottery picks, rather than the man who was just approved as Nets owner last week. The Nets, who had an NBA-worst 12-70 record, had a 25 percent chance of getting the No. 1 pick but fell all the way to third. The 76ers had just the league's sixth-worst record yet wound up with the No. 2 pick. The Wizards, owners of the league's fifth-worst record (and with only a 10.3 percent chance at the top pick) won the NBA's draft lottery and will have the No. 1 pick in the June 24 draft.

The Minnesota Timberwolves fell from second to fourth, the Sacramento Kings from third to fifth and the Golden State Warriors from fourth to sixth. The Wizards will likely chose between Kentucky's John Wall and Ohio State's Evan Turner, virtually assuring themselves of doing better than they did the last time they had the No. 1 overall pick. That was in 2001, when they selected Kwame Brown, considered one of the biggest busts ever at No. 1. It marks the sixth straight year the team with the best chance to win the lottery didn't wind up with the top pick. The last team with the best odds of winning the top pick and getting it was the Orlando Magic in 2004. The Magic chose Dwight Howard that year, which brings me to last night's game.

Howard bounced back from a poor Game 1 to score 30 points (9-of-13 FGs and 12-of-17 FTs) but his fellow teammates combined to shoot just 32.8 percent from the floor. Carter and Nelson combined to score only 25 points (9-of-27 from the floor), while Lewis has now totaled just 11 points in two games (4-of-16 FGs) after averaging 16.4 PPG on 54.0 percent shooting in Orlando's first two series. The Celtics didn't play a 'pretty' game with Allen scoring just four points (1-of-6 FGs) and KG being held to 10 points (5-of-16 FGs) after being held to just eight points in Game 1, but Pierce played his second straight excellent game (28) plus Rondo chipped in 25 points and eight assists.

Boston's 95-92 win gives Orlando back-to-back home losses for the first time since Games 4 and 5 of last year's NBA Finals with the Lakers. This is the same Magic team which had opened the 2010 postseason with back-to-back sweeps (8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS), while outscoring the Bobcats and Hawks, 101.00-to-83.8 PPG. Orlando entered this series on a 14-game winning streak (13-1 ATS) and with wins in 28 of its previous 31 games. The Celtics are now 10-0 SU and ATS this postseason when holding opponents under 100 points (10-3 SU and ATS, overall) and now own a commanding 2-0 lead as they head back home for Games 3 and 4.

The Celtics 'limped' through the second-half of this year's regular season and few expected much from this team in the 2010 postseason. However, the Celtics find themselves up 2-0 after two road wins, putting themselves in an extremely favorable situation. NBA playoff history tells us that teams taking 2-0 leads in a best-of-seven series have gone on to win 217 of 231 previous series (that's 93.9 percent), all-time. The Lakers will try and take a 2-0 series lead over the Suns in tonight's Western Conference finals. The game starts at 9:00 ET (TNT) with LA favored by seven points (total is 216).

Game 1 was all Lakers, as they cruised to a 128-107 victory. Kobe had 40 points by early in the 4th quarter and has now scored 30-plus points in six straight games (33.3 PPG during that stretch), the longest postseason stretch of 30-plus games since Shaq did it seven straight times back in 2003. The Lakers shot 58.0 percent as a team (Gasol had 21 points with Odom adding 19-19) and have now won seven straight playoff games (6-1 ATS) while averaging 110.1 PPG. The Suns face this daunting stat after losing Game 1. Phil Jackson coached teams are 46-0 all-time after winning Game 1 of a series, including 22-0 in LA.

Boston's win last night continues a current run which has seen visiting teams go 10-3 SU and ATS the last 13 games. That leaves home teams 42-24 (.636) this postseason, with a 38-28 (57.6 percent) ATS mark. There have been 31 overs, 32 unders and three pushes through 66 games plus those following the Zig Zag theory (lost last night with the Magic) have lost 12 of their last 15 plays to fall to 22-30 (minus-11.0 net games) this postseason.

Good luck...Larry

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