College Football Betting Preview
by John Ryan
A Look Ahead at Week 9
In the aftermath of more upsets, including the third straight week the No.1 team in the nation lost, will Week 9 hold true to form or will the dogs prevail again facing the giants of college football.
(1) Auburn at Mississippi
This week’s edition of the BCS sees Auburn ranked No.1 after another tough SEC win against LSU. Auburn must play a potentially tough game against upset minded Mississippi this Saturday and the Tigers are favored by seven points as lined by Pinnacle Sports. As we have seen throughout all of college football and especially in the SEC, seven points is not a guarantee that any favored team will win there game.
Can Mississippi follow the upset trend of No-1?
If you do not think that the No. 1 team can lose four straight weeks then take a close look at this system as this game may be a whole lot closer than most observers believe possible. This system has gone 29-8 ATS for 78.4% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival facing an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite.
Stop Cameron Newton
To defeat Auburn a defense must stop Auburn quarterback and Heisman Trophy contender Cameron Newton, who has passed and thrown for over 1000 yards each this season. That is a daunting task for a Rebel team that has given up a SEC worst 32 points per game. Auburn has shown several times this season that their offense can explode at any given point in a game. Newton leads the nation with 14 rushing touchdowns, leads the SEC gaining 135 rushing yards per game and pass efficiency rating. There may not be a single defense in the country that can contain Newton and the Auburn offense for an entire game.
All is not lost for the Rebels
The Rebels will have to play a perfect game to pull off the upset and they do have a strong history playing against elite passing offenses. Rebels are a solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) facing strong offensive teams scoring 34 or more points per game since 1992.
(2) Oregon at USC
Speaking of upsets we might as well label this one too as an upset alert. Oregon is favored by 7 -110 at Pinnacle Sports. This is simply Southern Cal’s ‘bowl game’ since they are ineligible for any bowl games due to NCAA violations and subsequent sanctions. Oregon, however, is on a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 7.25 or more yards per play in two consecutive games since 1992.
(6) Missouri at (14) Nebraska
Missouri is off arguably the biggest win in school history as they upset then No.1 Oklahoma last week. Now, they take to the road for a very difficult road assignment at 6-1 Nebraska. The Cornhuskers are favored by 7 1/2 points as listed at Bookmaker and does reflect how difficult it is for even the best teams in the country to go into Lincoln and get a win. Missouri is in a tough spot here noting the following system working against them. This system has produced a record of 31-7 ATS for 82% winners since 2005. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight wins against conference rivals and now facing an opponent off a road win. Three games mentioned so far and all have major potential to reshape next week’s BCS standings.
(17) Oklahoma State at Kansas State
This game would not be a monumental upset like the ones mentioned above, but nevertheless would be one that would have major ramifications for the Big-12 standings. Legends has this game lined with Oklahoma State favored by 5 1/2 points. The following system supports the upset believers and has posted a 25-10 straight up winning mark for 71.4% winners using the money line since 2005. Play against a road team using the money line after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games and now facing an opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
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