NBA Betting Last 10 Games
by John Ryan
The last 10 games, more or less, of the NBA season is upon us and there are some interesting opportunities for you to exploit down the stretch. These opportunities come in the form of some of the worst teams in the NBA and the reason is fairly simplistic. When a poor team is playing a playoff caliber team, especially one fighting for home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs, the point spread becomes vastly inflated by the public. In addition, when these poor teams also sport horrid ATS records, you are on your way to a possible play. The last item we like to look at is consensus figures from the various sports books in Vegas and on the net. When one of these “DOGS” is getting played against by 3 to 1 margin or more you have a qualified opportunity. Don’t be surprised either at the numbers of opportunities that will pop up over the next two weeks as the season concludes.
The Lakers are a perfect example of a team involved with too much public support. For the season they are 30-38 ATS, but 53-18 SU. Oklahoma City was not expected to be as superb a team as the public once thought. As a result, they are 41-29 ATS and have a comparable 43-27 ATS record. Now to the poor teams, led by New Jersey who sports a horrible league worst 29-41-1 ATS mark. Recently, the public has been hammered by going against the Nets and this a perfect example of what our 17 years of experience has taught us.
The Nets are 7-4 ATS in the month of March and perhaps attributed to their quest NOT to be the worst team in the history of the NBA. They won six straight games ATS. We fully expect them to get to 10 wins and will be a solid bet from here on out when playing against the elite ATS/SU teams in the league.
For simplistic reasons let’s play 3* amounts (which is our lowest amount released) on any of the sub 350 teams based on winning percentage when they are playing against the elite teams sporting a 650 winning percentage or higher. Consider making the wager a 4* amount if the poor team is on the road. For example, New Jersey qualified plays we will look at involve the two remaining games with Atlanta, against San Antonio, and possibly Charlotte. Eliminate plays where the opponent is resting starters for the playoffs, which start to be reported. We know that if you follow this method you will certainly have an excellent opportunity to pick up some extra profits.
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